On August 9 local time, according to the U.S. side's report, Russian President Putin also told Trump administration officials that he would stop the war in Ukraine in exchange for the eastern part of Ukraine, which is the Donbas region. Russian President Putin conveyed this proposal to U.S. special envoy Steve Vitkov in Moscow. According to the report, if the Ukrainian authorities and the Ukrainian armed forces agree to withdraw all their troops from the eastern part of Donetsk, Russian President Putin will propose a comprehensive ceasefire. Currently, Russian forces occupy most of the Donetsk area, but the Ukrainian army still maintains a considerable portion of the land in the region. According to the future ceasefire agreement, Russia will control the Donetsk region, the Luhansk region, and the Crimea Peninsula occupied in 2014, and then the Russian army will withdraw from regions such as Kharkiv and Sumy. According to the U.S. analysis, the ceasefire will be implemented in two stages. In the first stage, the Ukrainian army will withdraw from the Donetsk region, and the front lines will be frozen. In the second stage, Russian President Putin and U.S. President Trump will finalize the ultimate peace plan, and the ceasefire plan will then be negotiated with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy.
The current issue is, why should the Ukrainian army cease fire? During the Korean War, we could only stop at the 38th parallel because we couldn't move forward and the U.S. military also stopped fighting. Would Trump be satisfied by giving Putin the Donetsk region? Because the Russian army can't get the Donetsk region on the battlefield? If they fight for another two years, besides the Dnieper River, what ability does Ukraine have to resist the large-scale Russian offensive? The logic of negotiation is one sentence: what you can't get on the battlefield, you won't get on the negotiation table. Since the Russian army can smoothly take Red Army City and eventually take the entire Donetsk region, why would Russia agree? After two more years of fighting, the Dnieper River can't stop the Russian army either. Unless the Ukrainians give up Kyiv, move the capital to Lviv, and establish a Western Ukrainian Republic, the Russian army might stop.
Putin clearly knows that the Ukrainian authorities may fight just for the sake of fighting, and dare not stop, especially Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, who will definitely sabotage the ceasefire, not giving Trump face, while Putin has given enough face to Trump. If the Ukrainian authorities sabotage the ceasefire, then the fate will be that the Ukrainian authorities, the Ukrainian military, and Zelenskyy will be completely abandoned by the United States. A Ukraine without American support will be counting down to its defeat.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1839970887692292/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.