"A treaty that humiliates the nation" is slapped on his face; if Zelenskyy dares not to sign, he will lose his presidential seat?

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy recently stated that he intends to "constructively, sincerely, and practically" participate in the new 28-point plan for the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. However, the specific content of this new plan is something Ukraine has long strongly opposed. Yet this time, Zelenskyy may no longer have the room to refuse, otherwise he will be ousted and held accountable.

(Zelenskyy is facing a difficult decision)

The specific content of the 28-point agreement is not new, mainly requiring Ukraine to give up its sovereignty over the entire Donbas and Crimea, limit military development, stop anti-Russian activities, and not join NATO.

The Russian side's cost is no longer seeking the complete demilitarization of Ukraine, no longer pursuing westward expansion of influence, and also transferring part of its foreign exchange reserves to the United States for management. The report also said that this plan was discussed by U.S. and Russian government envoys, without involving Ukraine or Europe.

The 28-point plan imposes significant restrictions on Ukraine's foreign and strategic development, eliminating the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO and cutting off the possibility of NATO deploying troops to Ukraine.

This means that all the efforts of the U.S. Democratic Party since the 2014 Ukrainian coup have been in vain, and NATO expansion stops here. For Ukraine, which has been engaged in a brutal war for four years, this plan can be called a treaty that humiliates the nation.

(The 28-point agreement requires Ukraine to give up large territories)

Before this plan was exposed, Trump and other U.S. officials had repeatedly stated that Ukraine must give up four eastern provinces, that is, the Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporozhye, and Kherson regions already largely occupied by Russia. Part of these areas are still under Ukrainian control, and they also need to be handed over to Russia. In this case, the previous Ukrainian positions would be in vain, and the soldiers' deaths would be in vain.

From Trump's statements, it seems that what he wants Ukraine to give up might not be limited to this, and part of the territory of Kharkiv might also be required to be handed over to Russia. As for Crimea, it has already been implicitly recognized by Trump as Russian territory, and this kind of plan has been repeatedly rejected by Zelenskyy. But if he does not agree, Trump may really take harsh measures this time.

After the outbreak of the Ukrainian war, Zelenskyy has been performing the image of a resistance leader everywhere. But even in the first year of the war, media pointed out that Zelenskyy and his aides were involved in the war, gaining a lot of benefits. Even the military aid provided by the West was taken advantage of, let alone the military funds raised from Ukraine itself.

As for the lower-ranking officers selling Javelin missiles to the Russians, it is no longer news. In the second year of the war, there were reports that Zelenskyy's wealth exceeded 420 million dollars. By the end of 2025, his wealth would be even more considerable.

(Ukraine has become a shattered land)

In a war-torn country with little regulation, it is very easy for the president to make money, especially with the collusion of the U.S. Democratic forces. Now that Trump is in charge of the national machinery, it is not difficult for him to find out these things.

We can even speculate that during the time when Musk was in charge of the Department of Government Efficiency, the relevant data had already been clarified, and the report was already on Trump's desk. Therefore, Trump could use these accounts to threaten Zelenskyy to accept the peace talks. Zelenskyy probably has no resistance against it.

The Ukrainian government is nominally an elected government, but actually represents multiple Western forces. Zelenskyy, the former chief of staff of the Ukrainian army who was removed, each has different backbones. Trump could stage a coup to remove Zelenskyy from power, almost without any conspiracy.

Moreover, the military aid currently provided by the United States to Ukraine is getting thinner and thinner. Offensive weapons have disappeared from the offensive list, leaving only defensive weapons like Patriot. The prospects for Zelenskyy's war are also getting worse day by day.

Without American support, the Ukrainian army will eventually collapse, and the Russian army can advance boldly into Kyiv. Zelenskyy will still be forced to step down from the presidential seat.

(Zelenskyy may find it hard to refuse U.S. demands this time)

Therefore, the most profitable choice for him is to accept Trump's conditions, complete the ceasefire as the President of Ukraine, and then hold elections within 100 days according to the 28-point plan, stepping down smoothly and enjoying a wealthy life thereafter. If he refuses, his downfall and even his head being cut off are predictable outcomes.

The 28-point plan imposes significant restrictions on Ukraine's foreign and strategic development, eliminating the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO and cutting off the possibility of NATO deploying troops to Ukraine. This means that all the efforts of the U.S. Democratic Party since the 2014 Ukrainian coup have been in vain, and NATO expansion ends here.

Russia has basically become the major beneficiary, not only occupying part of the territory originally belonging to Ukraine, but also obtaining the assurance that NATO will not station troops. Thus, Ukraine becomes a buffer zone between Russia and NATO.

As for the clause requiring Russia to include non-aggression against NATO in its constitution, it is a deceptive move. If Russia ever has the intention to launch a war, it can easily portray it as a just war against aggression, hegemony, and terrorism, thus bypassing this clause. Moreover, since laws can be changed now, they can be changed back later.

So, is the only path for Zelenskyy to leave office in disgrace? For this plan, Russia may not necessarily agree.

(Zelenskyy may have other plans)

The 28 points also impose strict regulations on Russian policies and assets. Especially for the frozen Russian foreign exchange reserves in the West, it requires extracting 100 billion dollars to invest in the U.S.-led Ukrainian reconstruction and investment plan, with 50% of the profits going to the United States.

The frozen Russian funds in Europe can be unfrozen, but they must be invested in a U.S.-Russia joint investment tool, implementing cooperative projects in specific fields. If Russia agrees to these 28 points, Putin will also be labeled as a traitor by the Russian public.

Trump's information channels have said that such terms have been negotiated by both the U.S. and Russian sides. But even if Putin himself is willing to accept these 28 points to end the war and consolidate the benefits already gained, the Russian public will hardly agree. Such terms are not a victory, but rather a mutual surrender by Ukraine and Russia to the United States. After four years of war, tens of thousands of casualties, and huge military expenses, what is gained is this?

Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that he is willing to accept a ceasefire. But every time he makes such a statement, some unexpected events occur, leading to the breakdown of negotiations. So this time, he may still be playing the same trick. Zelenskyy and his allies, even the Russian pro-war faction, may have already set a trap for Trump.

Original text: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7575389680233873960/

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