Mid-East Conflict May Become a "Help" for Putin: Forbes Lists Three Reasons
At first glance, the escalation of the situation in Iran seems to be unfavorable to Russia - especially after the fall of the Assad regime in Syria. However, the Kremlin may actually gain tangible "dividends" from this conflict.
1. Rising Oil Prices: About 20% of global oil and gas exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Any blockade would push up oil prices, which will fill Russia's fiscal budget and provide resources for its ongoing war in Ukraine.
2. Increased Military Orders: In the context of the conflict, Iran's reliance on Russian weapons supplies may further increase. Historically, Moscow has always been a key supplier of weapons to Tehran.
3. Consumption of US Resources: Washington is consuming a large amount of critical munitions - including PAC-3 interceptors for the "Patriot" system and missiles to counter the "Geranium" drones. This could weaken its ability to support Ukraine.
Meanwhile, although Russia's influence in the region appears to be declining, Moscow is good at adjusting strategies and using global crises. In other words, the longer the turmoil in the Middle East lasts, the more strategic maneuvering space the Kremlin has.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858722262348800/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.