The Iranian private jet Falcon 50 (registration number: 9011) flew to Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, on June 30, 2025, local time. According to Pakistani sources, it is likely to have carried the Iranian Minister of Defense, who was scheduled to meet with Pakistani defense officials. When the plane took off from Iran, the ADS-B transponder was turned off, causing its flight path to be obscured.

The Iranian private jet Falcon 50 (registration number: 9011) flies to Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan

During a telephone conversation with the Chief of the Pakistani Army, General Asim Munir, Major General Abdolrahim Musavi praised Islamabad's "brave stance." General Musavi said, "In addition to participating in the aggression, the United States has also done everything possible to protect the Israeli regime from our missiles and drones." "Although we have suffered losses, especially some of our senior commanders were killed in the early stages of the war, we prevented the enemy from achieving their goals, forcing them to request a ceasefire."

Screenshot of Iranian media reports

However, Musavi did not disclose what support the Pakistani military provided to the Iranian military during the war. In addition to military support, Pakistan's support for Iran must have included diplomatic and economic support. The Pakistani military immediately sealed the border, preventing the Baloch separatists, backed by the US and India, from crossing the border to conduct raids on Iran, thus creating a second front in eastern Iran. Pakistan is also afraid that if Iran undergoes a change in government, the Baloch issue will become fully Kurdishized, leading to a dramatic explosion of Baloch armed forces within Iran.

Iranian Air Force is reportedly purchasing Su-35 fighters, but none were found to have intercepted the Israeli Air Force

It is said that during the 12-day war, the Pakistani Air Force was patrolling the Iranian border, protecting part of the airspace along the Pakistan-Iran border. Previously, it was claimed that India opened its airspace, allowing Israeli Air Force aircraft to fly into the eastern part of Iran for bombing. It cannot be ruled out that the defense minister sought the experience of the Pakistani Air Force on May 7th, how they used the J-10CE + PL-15 + HQ-9 + electronic warfare system to win the 57th air battle against the Indian Air Force. The Pakistani Air Force gave the Iranian Air Force a lesson. If the Iranian Air Force had J-10CE fighters, the Iranians would have bought 24 J-10CE fighters at all costs. Even if one J-10CE fighter was patrolling over Tehran, the Iranians would not have been so severely bombed. For Iran, shooting down 12 fighters on the airport is much easier than destroying 500 missiles underground. Moreover, the maintenance chain of fighters is more complex than that of missiles.

The Iranian Air Force has personally inspected the J-10CE fighter

Given Iran's security situation, it is easier for internal spies to sabotage these fighters than to destroy missile launchers. If the next war breaks out in the next 1-3 months, Iran should hurry up and buy or fake targets. Fake missile launchers could be made in large numbers, scattered everywhere. Also, releasing smoke, burning black smoke near key targets, making it difficult for the enemy to attack, or making it difficult to assess the effectiveness after an attack. What Iran is worried about, even if it buys advanced fighters, it would just be another Six-Day War. In the Six-Day War, the Egyptian and Syrian armies had advanced fighters far superior to the Israeli Air Force, but they were wiped out in a single surprise attack. Let alone the many spies infiltrated in Iran. The ground-based fighters may be destroyed by anti-tank missiles or FPV suicide drones.

The Iranian Air Force F-14 fighter did not play any role in the war

On June 30, local time, the footage released by Iran showed that during the 12-day war, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' air defense forces tracked and intercepted Israeli drones. Obviously, the limited 358-type air defense cruise missiles and the Majid short-range air defense missile systems of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps could not possibly shoot down the Israeli Air Force F-35I, F-16I, and F-15I fighters. At this time, the Iranian Air Defense Forces' Faith-373, S-300, Buk, and Tor air defense missile systems were all missing. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' air defense weapons are too rudimentary, without large radars, and only have optical equipment for targeting drones.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps achieved the success of shooting down drones

But if there are several reasonably matched air superiority fighters patrolling in the air, the difficulty of organizing the Israeli Air Force's aerial campaign would double, and the Israeli Air Force would not be able to carry out such a successful operation. The disadvantage of Iran's reliance solely on ground-based air defense is that the Iranian air defense forces disappeared and did not fight. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' air defense capabilities are weak, which led to Iran being completely passive in the face of attacks. The advantage of having good fighter jets is that, at least, the patrol aircraft can detect the air strikes in advance before the war starts as reported.

The overall problem of Iran is not something that can be solved by simply adding a few advanced fighters and having them on duty. The air superiority of stealth aircraft over non-stealth aircraft, Iran's domestic mobilization capacity, long-range air defense missiles, command chains, data links, and early warning systems, Iran is only a big loss reduced to a smaller one. Without a system, Iran's air defense is just giving away food. If Iran is not short of money, it is not impossible to exchange oil for the production line of J-10CE fighters.

Iran can exchange oil for J-10 fighter jet production lines

No matter how much money and guns Iran has, without strong organizational and mobilization capabilities, everything is in vain. The current situation of Iran is not something that can be saved by buying a few J-10CE and Su-35 fighters. After all, the Israeli Air Force's F-35I stealth fighters are not easy to deal with. A few days before the war, if the Iranian air defense forces had some Buk, S-300, and Faith-373 air defense missiles, they could fight like the Yemeni Houthi and Ukrainian air defense forces, launching guerrilla attacks on the Israeli Air Force, which would make the Israeli Air Force hesitant to enter deep into Iranian airspace for bombing.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7521833500627059215/

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