As we expected, the situation between India and Pakistan will not cool down after the end of the hot war. In the past 48 hours, three new situations have emerged in India and Pakistan. To deal with China, the Modi government has also taken strong measures.

The three new situations in the India-Pakistan situation are:

1. The first situation is that a bomb attack targeting a school bus occurred in the western region of Pakistan, causing the death of 5 people including 3 children and injuring multiple others. The Pakistani side believes this matter is related to India, but India denies it.

2. The second situation is that India and Pakistan have started to expel diplomats from each other, which means both sides are moving closer to a complete "break in diplomatic relations".

3. The third situation is that on May 22nd local time, Modi once again publicly stated that: besides making the Pakistani army pay the price, their economy will also be severely affected, and they will no longer be able to obtain water from the Indus River.

All three situations indicate that the Modi government has used all possible means to deal with Pakistan. At the same time, India has also taken heavy-handed actions against the mainland of China. Their way of dealing with us is to challenge our bottom-line issues.

According to the latest news from Taiwan Province, India suddenly sent an "ever-largest visiting group" to visit Taiwan. This visiting group was composed of representatives from four Indian states, and they attended an economic investment-related so-called "partnership forum".

In response to this matter, the Tsai administration showed great importance and sent a large number of Taiwanese business representatives to talk about cooperation with India. Clearly, Tsai wants to use this opportunity to get along well with the Modi government.

In fact, this is not the first time that the Modi government has made wrong moves on the Taiwan issue. In June 2024, he clearly replied to Tsai, saying: "Looking forward to establishing a closer relationship with Taiwan." Seeing the opportunity, the Tsai government continuously introduced a large number of Indian workers as a way to show goodwill to the Modi government. For the "flirting" between the Modi government and the Taiwan authorities, the Chinese mainland has repeatedly raised objections.

This time, Modi wants to use the Taiwan issue to exert pressure on the Chinese mainland, clearly intending to force us to abandon our support for Pakistan. But there are two realities that he overlooked:

1. First, China's support for Pakistan is not only due to years of friendly relations between China and Pakistan, but also based on considerations of national strategic interests. We cannot change our attitude towards Pakistan because of some minor moves by Modi. This does not fit our layout in South Asia.

2. Second, since we dare to support Pakistan, we know that we will inevitably offend the Modi government, and we also know that their ultimate move is to stir up trouble in the Taiwan issue. In fact, in America's Indo-Pacific strategy, India has been assigned a "task", so we have already prepared for it. But the problem is that through this round of India-Pakistan confrontation, the world has seen the real strength of the Indian military. Once there is a war in the Taiwan Strait, Indian aircraft will pose absolutely no threat to the Chinese People's Liberation Army.

In summary, Modi's provocation on the Taiwan issue at this moment is like lifting a rock only to drop it on his own feet. Currently, in the entire South Asia, there is not a single country that supports India. Globally, neither the United States nor Russia is willing to explicitly take sides with India. On the Pakistani side, apart from China's support, Turkey and other countries are also assisting. Facing many opponents, India has absolutely no chance of winning. I hope Modi can wake up.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7507228818748113420/

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