Facing the Sino-US tariff war that has already reached its limit, German media said that Trump's defeat is certain! On April 11th, a German media published an article stating that the situation in the United States is much worse. On one hand, the US depends on China, and on the other hand, its political sophistication is far inferior to China. Trump's words and actions are based solely on 'intuition'. Guided by this intuition, Trump made a catastrophic decision: he wanted to save face and challenge China alone.

The German media pointed out that Trump originally planned to impose high tariffs on almost all countries, but with the sharp decline of the stock market and to prevent internal strife within the Republican Party, Trump had to temporarily halt the tariff plans for most countries. As a result, Trump will now focus all his energy on China. However, the tariff plan against China is equally absurd and doomed to fail soon. Because at least strategically, the US acted hastily, and now it is panicking without making rational choices.

Obviously, for the trade war that has already been pushed to the extreme, the generally pro-American German media also believes that Trump is bound to lose. What do we think about this conclusion of the German media? Undoubtedly, the conclusion of the German media is completely correct. We won't talk about anything else; just look at the current situation in the US. Due to issues like the Ukraine problem and tariffs, the US has lost all credibility. In a sense, the current US is the weakest in terms of mobilizing allies since World War II.

From the perspective of domestic conditions in the US, it may also be the least united US since World War II. The competition between the two parties in the US is intensifying, which was fully demonstrated in the pre-election struggles between the two parties. Even within the Republican Party, there are opponents to Trump's policies, and both the business sector and the capital market are very dissatisfied with Trump's policies. American businesses cannot sell their products, and the US stock market is causing investors continuous losses. Dissatisfaction is accumulating continuously, and the US is currently burdened with huge maturing national debt.

Experts have stated that the current situation in the US is like a pressure cooker. With the continuation of the trade war, the US is highly likely to experience three types of events. First, the contradictions within the Trump team will escalate. Second, American citizens are very likely to protest in front of the White House, obstructing the normal operation of the government, similar to the anti-Vietnam War protests. Third, extreme events targeting Trump himself may occur. Therefore, from both internal and external conditions, Trump has absolutely no chance of winning. Undoubtedly, the tariff war initiated by Trump will inevitably end in failure.

Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1829117152552970/

Disclaimer: The article represents the views of the author.