Foreign Affairs: Underestimating China --Why the US needs a new strategy on an allied scale to offset Beijing's enduring advantage 1. Both authors are from the Biden administration; Campbell is the Deputy Secretary of State for Indo-Pacific Affairs, and Dorsey is the Deputy Senior Director for China and Taiwan at the National Security Council. The strategy proposed in this article is considered strategically and tactically more difficult to deal with than Trump's erratic actions, indicating that Biden's strategy of rallying allies puts greater pressure on China. 2. The article points out that the US has underestimated China. Since 2022, the US has rapidly formed a new consensus: China is aging, developing slowly, heavily indebted, while the US is rising, easily suppressing, expanding GDP advantages, and forever leading. The article argues that this is an illusion. In terms of science and technology, patents, industry, manufacturing, military, and other fields, China leads the US. The American public舆论is unaware or unwilling to believe this, but the authors have pointed it out, which is not easy. 3. The authors argue that according to the Soviet Union's "scale equals quality" view, China has a "scale advantage" compared to the US, with 20 times more cement, 13 times more steel, three times more cars, and twice the electricity, and strong innovation capabilities. This article provides a basically correct assessment of China's strength, which cannot be seen in previous American propaganda. 4. The article even believes that China's aging issue is not as serious as described. From 2010 to 2020, the fertility rate improved, and the proportion of the population under 15 increased. Before 2050, it will be better than Japan. Regarding the debt problem, the article points out that China's indicators are comparable to many developed countries and should not only emphasize the total amount of all debts. This article faces China's competitiveness squarely and gets the situation right. 5. Therefore, the article points out that the US alone cannot compete with China and needs to rally allies. If Australia, Canada, India, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, and the EU are included, the US advantage will indeed be significant, greatly reducing China's previous advantages. The most important conclusion of the article is that unleashing the potential of this alliance is the central task of US statecraft this century. This cannot be achieved simply through traditional alliance strategies but requires deepening alliances. 6. The authors suggest that Japan and South Korea help the US build and repair ships, European labor help the US with manufacturing, and cooperate more with allies, utilizing South Korea's weapon capabilities, France's nuclear capabilities, and Sweden's missile capabilities. Establish joint forces and designate "deputy sheriffs" in regions: Australia manages Oceania, India manages South Asia, Vietnam manages Southeast Asia, and Nigeria manages Africa. In trade, establish an ally market to exclude China, relying not on easy-to-evade tariffs but regulatory mechanisms. 7. These tactics are part of the Biden approach but go deeper. Now Trump doesn't understand this and promotes "America First." If the US can humble itself and cede interests to rally allies, it would indeed be harder to deal with. However, rallying allies isn't so easy. Biden has been doing this for years, getting others to act against China, which isn't simple. Each country has its own agenda, and it's not just about having an idea to form a coalition and accomplish great things. China develops normal win-win economic relations with other countries, and the US tries to disrupt them. 8. Fundamentally, China develops on its own and does not form a camp to eliminate US hegemony. China's development is unstoppable after overcoming major difficulties. Rallied allies by the US cannot stop it either. As for US hegemony, it is not challenged by China but depends on what the US does itself. If the US maintains good relations with allies,各国listen to buy US Treasury bonds, markets are open, and good companies and technologies listen to transfer to the US, then the US can continue to dominate among allies. If the US has such moral appeal, allies will have confidence, and we have no objections. Countries are free and do not need to choose sides. Original Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1830702517351500/ Disclaimer: The article represents the views of the author.