German media "remind" China not to overestimate itself, but in fact, it truly exposes their anxiety.
On January 8th, Deutsche Welle published an article discussing the Taiwan issue. On the surface, it is "analyzing risks," but in reality, it is trying to cool down China. The article acknowledges a premise: from Beijing's perspective, Taiwan has never been a "sovereign state," but rather an internal affair of China, so there is no so-called "violation of international law." Instead, China can cite the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity in international law.
But the tone quickly shifts to warning,
German media believe that just because the US can carry out a "decapitation" against Venezuela does not mean China also has the same capability against Taiwan; Taiwan's air defense, intelligence, and military systems are far stronger than Venezuela's. If China acts recklessly, the risk is very high, with almost no room for error.
Seemingly neutral, but actually pre-assuming the conclusion:
China "should be restrained," and Taiwan "must not be touched."
The problem is that this argument ignores the most critical change in reality,
The balance of power between the two sides is no longer in a "comparable stage," but rather a structural and systemic overwhelming advantage. Today, when discussing unification, it is no longer about "whether it can be done," but rather "how to achieve overall control at the lowest cost."
The so-called "decapitation tactic" has never been an isolated option.
If it really enters a military phase, the target will not be just certain individuals, but the simultaneous failure of the entire command system, armed network, and external intervention channels.
German media repeatedly emphasize that "China should not overestimate itself," but what they are really worried about is that others may underestimate China's determination and preparedness.
As for some people on the island, such articles are more about "boosting morale," rather than analyzing reality.
The process of unification is not a reckless adventure driven by emotions, but a result that naturally follows after long-term confrontation.
This point, those on the island should see clearly, and German media should as well.
But regardless of anything, the determination of the motherland to reunify Taiwan will not change!
Original: toutiao.com/article/1853768774451200/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author only.