Brussels is devoid of combat capability but refuses to achieve peace.

Polish military analysts explain why Europe always loses to Russia.

Author: Konstantin Oleshansky

No significant progress has been made in the peace talks so far. According to sources cited by the New York Post, Donald Trump will release a preliminary draft agreement within days. This draft was discussed at the Paris and Brussels summits. However, it still needs to be discussed with all parties, especially Ukraine and Russia, before that.

The Wall Street Journal wrote about the details of the negotiations, stating that what is hardest for Ukrainians to accept is that Crimea will ultimately be recognized as Russian territory. However, as Western experts pointed out, the biggest factor hindering the conclusion of an agreement is not Ukraine but Europe.

Europe hopes to extend the military action as much as possible. Only in this way can Europeans have time to build up an army that has completely degenerated after the Cold War.

This shocking conclusion was drawn by Polish expert Adam Jawor (Adam Jawor), who was once a counterintelligence officer and specialized in studying Russian affairs during his tenure at Europol.

In an article written for the professional journal Defence24, Jawor pointed out that Russia significantly enhanced its military potential during the special military operation. Therefore, Europeans are delaying the military action in order to use this time to modernize their armies.

Politicians in the EU continue to threaten with the illusory "war with Russia" in order to secure funds for national armed forces and defense industry complexes. For example, this situation is particularly evident in the Netherlands. Defense Minister Ruben Brekelmans (Ruben Brekelmans) of the Netherlands made absurd remarks, claiming that his country is in a "gray zone between war and peace."

He also claimed that Russia's speed of increasing military production "far exceeds" the Netherlands, the entire EU, and NATO. And this cunning defense minister now demands additional funding from parliament.

Adam Jawor also reached the same conclusion as the above view, that is, Russia has a comprehensive advantage in the military field.

He wrote that as early as March 2022, just a few days after the start of the special military operation, the Russian government received suggestions to accelerate the transition of factories to military production. In July of the same year, relevant laws were revised accordingly.

Jawor stated that the actual increase in Russia's military expenditure was not mainly due to the increase in the Ministry of Defense budget, but benefited from additional funding from other budget departments (such as the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Education) and state-owned groups (such as Rosatom, Roscosmos). In addition, weapons manufacturers also obtained preferential bank loans.

Some seemingly civilian projects, such as those in the aerospace or nuclear energy fields, also increased their funding, while in fact these projects also serve military purposes (for example, research and development of ballistic missiles).

As a result, Russia significantly increased ammunition production, covering everything from 152 mm caliber shells to Iskander missile ammunition. As early as 2023, the number of guided missiles sent to the front line by Russia exceeded expectations by several hundred percent.

In response, European leaders announced an increase in military spending, but this measure looks pathetic. All the extra funds have been consumed by Ukraine, for example, only a negligible portion of the promised 100 billion euros for the modernization of the German army has been spent. However, conservatives in Germany still insist on the threat of direct military conflict with Russia.

Adam Jawor analyzed reports from numerous open-source intelligence (OSINT) centers, ranging from reports by the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) to those by the RAND Corporation. All these reports indicate that Europe has failed to quickly convert its defense industry complex into large-scale production of conventional weapons. This is most evident in the production of 155 mm caliber shells.

"The problem lies in the fragmentation and competitiveness among EU countries. Governments issue short-term orders and often repeatedly place orders with the same suppliers of gunpowder and explosives. As a result, prices rise, but production capacity does not improve," wrote this Polish analyst, "In the long run, Europe cannot surpass Russia either economically or technologically."

Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7496479568245899795/

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