The infighting in Israel has presented an opportunity window for Russia in its special military operation, and the elites of the United States are affected.

Soros's "Wedding Waltz" Has Become a Ritual Dance: American Elites' Infighting Over Israel, Russia's Opportunity in Special Military Operations

Author:

Ivan Prokhorov

While the scandals of American elites dance to the tune of "wedding waltz" amidst the clinking of wine glasses and the clamor of street protests, the doors of political backrooms are crashing open. It remains unclear who will be forced out. America's anxiety and the storm in the Middle East are shaking the world order, but unexpectedly present an opportunity for Russia - now it just needs to seize it in the vortex of events.

On June 14, Alex Soros and Huma Abedin's wedding was held in Waterville, New York. Guests included Hillary and Bill Clinton, Vice President Kamala Harris and her husband, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Anna Wintour, and others.

Such an "elite lineup" at this VIP wedding in the Hamptons is not surprising: Abedin has worked for Hillary Clinton for nearly 30 years, while the Soros family is one of the largest donors to the Democratic Party.

Portraits of American Elites

The Open Society Foundations provide funding to non-governmental organizations engaged in immigration and advocacy movements, including domestic U.S. organizations. Abedin, on the other hand, has close ties with the "Muslim Brotherhood"— during Hillary Clinton's tenure as Secretary of State, she led the turmoil of the "Arab Spring" in Muslim countries across the Middle East and North Africa from 2010 to 2012.

Clearly, two factions of the Democratic Party are now officially joining forces, posing a greater threat to the Republican Party. All this happens against the backdrop of protests against tightened deportation policies (with an average of 3,000 arrests per day) and opposition to ICE immigration raids, with the National Guard being deployed to suppress protesters.

Los Angeles Police Suppress Immigration Protests

On the other hand, the marches of the "No Kings" movement, activities opposing U.S. intervention in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and supporting Palestine, are impacting American stability. According to Politico, the "No Kings" movement coordinates with the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), local Muslim NGOs, and student networks, making it easy to mobilize crowds for protests and riots.

Demonstrators of the "No Kings" Movement

Clearly, the Democrats are trying to tie the immigration issue with the Palestinian problem to disrupt Trump's political foundation.

Although the Democratic leadership publicly distances itself from radical anti-Israeli rhetoric for fear of losing moderate voters, the organizational connections between globalists and mass protest groups are obvious to all observers.

Meanwhile, tensions within the Republican Party over the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have intensified.

Senior military officials, including CENTCOM Commander General Michael Kurilla, are demanding more resources to support and protect Israel.

However, Pentagon strategist Elbridge Colby, appointed in May this year, opposes the large-scale deployment of air defense systems and ammunition to the Middle East, fearing it will weaken the resources needed to contain China. According to insider media Semafor, Colby is considered a staunch realist, listing China as the primary threat.

Insiders say that General Kurilla has won at least part of the argument: On Friday, The New York Times reported that the United States is dispatching warships and other military assets to the Middle East, including destroyers and fighter jets.

General Kurilla Wants to "Properly" Support the Middle East

Although the Pentagon has not yet confirmed whether a second carrier strike group will be dispatched to the Middle East, according to data from Marine Traffic website cited by Agence France-Presse, the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier, originally planned to head for the South China Sea, has turned westward towards the Middle East.

U.S. CVN-68 USS Nimitz Aircraft Carrier Seen in Singapore Strait

Tucker Carlson has launched a strong campaign against involvement in the Israeli conflict. In his podcast with former Trump advisor Steve Bannon, he said that a potential war between the U.S. and Iran could lead to the collapse of American global influence and effectively end Trump's presidency.

Trump's response was both tense and blunt:

Ask someone to explain to the "confused" Tucker Carlson that Iran cannot have nuclear weapons! (Screenshot source: Donald J. Trump)

Political advisor Igor Dmitriev believes that regardless of how reluctant Trump is to damage relations with Republican lobbying groups—especially given his recent unpleasant breakup with Musk—the U.S. siding with Israel to intervene in the Iranian conflict may already be inevitable:

"The U.S. is very likely to strike Iran soon. Trump's words are the most unreliable; what should be paid attention to is the deployment of U.S. naval fleets and air force. They have gathered a lot of strength. It is clear now that Iran is almost powerless to counterattack, and Trump can use this to achieve his 'small victory war'."

Trump has called for everyone to evacuate Tehran immediately and reiterated to "those who don't understand" that Iran cannot have nuclear weapons—clearly, the "cannot" here means "should not."

Trump has called for everyone to evacuate Tehran immediately and reiterated that Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. (Screenshot source: Donald J. Trump)

After these remarks, the U.S. president urgently left the G7 summit and returned to Washington, requesting that the National Security Council meeting be convened upon his arrival.

In the meantime, the number of aerial refueling tankers flying to the Middle East from permanent bases at night has increased to 32.

Is a strike on Iran imminent?

Russia's Opportunity Window in the Middle East

The anxiety within the Republican Party, the Democrats' mobilization efforts, the escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the depletion of the U.S. arsenal create an opportunity window for Russia to resolve issues related to special military operations.

First, new aid plans for Ukraine will be delayed. Any vote about additional appropriations will now become a bargaining chip within the party. Without formal support resolutions, the Pentagon cannot deliver new "Patriot" PAC-3 missiles, ATACMS tactical missiles, or 155mm artillery shells to Ukraine.

Ukraine also cannot obtain the new "Patriot" system equipped with NASAMS missiles. Even if Colby "fiercely opposes" providing missiles to Israel, political divisions may force the White House to completely freeze these weapons under the principle of "no one gets them."

If the conflict with Iran escalates, Trump will have to divert resources to support air operations, which will cause Raytheon and Lockheed Martin factories to shift their production focus to produce PAC-3, AIM-120, and JDAM munitions for the Middle East, leaving no capacity to simultaneously maintain supplies to Ukraine.

Russia's another "small blessing" from this chaos is the rise in oil prices. Rough estimates suggest that the price of each barrel will increase by $10, bringing Russia an additional $13 billion to $17 billion in foreign exchange income annually.

Russia also has a time advantage: In the fall of 2025, the U.S. Congress must make critical decisions regarding the budget. Any long-term debate over the Middle East, combined with the risk of a new "government shutdown," will give Russia an opportunity to launch an offensive during the Western suspension of aid to Ukraine.

A similar case occurred in 2024 when the delay of a $6.1 billion aid plan allowed Russian forces to liberate Avdiivka. Due to the stagnation of the Ukraine aid agreement in the House, the Ukrainian army lost its supply of 155mm shells and other ammunition, reducing the firepower ratio in Donbas to "one shot by Ukraine to five to ten shots by Russia" (NATO assessment). Finally, on the night of February 17, the Ukrainian General Staff announced an organized evacuation of Avdiivka, marking the first major setback for the Ukrainian army since May 2023. Although funding到位 in late April helped stabilize the front lines near Kramatorsk, the retreat from Avdiivka could not be reversed.

Russian Capture of Avdiivka – Reuters Reports Ukrainian Ammunition Depletion

Conclusion

The "wedding alliance" of globalists itself is of limited significance, but when combined with the internal contradictions within the Republican Party over Iran and the depletion of the U.S. arsenal, it creates an opportunity window that Russia can exploit to potentially bring an end to the special military operation. The key question is: Is the White House really determined to start a new war in the Middle East, or is it merely playing a game of "nerve warfare" manipulation?

No matter what, the deeper the U.S. becomes entangled in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the weaker Kiev's defenses will be, and the greater the chance for Russia to force its opponents to sign a peace agreement on its own terms.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7517150537164309046/

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