According to a November 26 report by the U.S. publication NSJ, the 28-point peace plan introduced by the United States has been revised into 19 points after negotiations with Ukraine and Europe. The reactions from Russia, Europe, and Ukraine are different.

Kyiv has shown a cautious acceptance of the plan, while Moscow believes it has been tricked, accusing it of deviating from the spirit of the Anchorage talks and claiming that the United States unilaterally modified the content without consulting Russia.

This situation has once again led to the breakdown of the nascent peace process.

American and Ukrainian negotiators

Russia's anger mainly focuses on the diluted parts of the new draft.

Russian officials believe that the meeting between Putin and Trump in Anchorage formed the basis of their negotiation.

This closed-door meeting was portrayed within the Russian narrative as an initial understanding, including possible territorial adjustments in Ukraine, military restrictions, and a dilution of certain Western security mechanisms.

However, the new 19-point framework removed the most critical elements such as territorial arrangements, NATO's position, and long-term security guarantees, clearly leaving these issues for future face-to-face meetings between Trump and Zelenskyy.

To Russia, this is equivalent to the United States unilaterally retracting the signals it had previously conveyed in early communications, transforming the originally structured 28-point proposal into a more ambiguous framework.

Raevsky publicly stated that the new draft significantly deviates from Russia's version. This means that Russia cannot accept the 19-point plan.

Raevsky

Ukraine seems to be enjoying the situation, cautiously accepting the newly negotiated plan.

According to public information, Ukraine has agreed in principle to limit its military size to within 800,000 troops, which is seen as a concession to gain continued political and military support from the United States.

However, in terms of territorial ownership, NATO relations, and long-term strategic positioning, Kyiv is unwilling to make concessions in advance.

Inside Ukraine, there is a belief that if they compromise first on these levels, Russia will achieve a strategic victory, and Ukraine's future living space will be permanently compressed.

In summary, Ukraine's acceptance of the 19-point draft is not a full endorsement, but rather an attempt to retain the negotiating seat and avoid being decided by the fate of the United States and Russia alone.

Kyiv believes that issues related to sovereignty can only be discussed directly with the United States, not set by the Anchorage model expected by Russia.

Ukrainian and Russian flags

European countries have put forward a 24-point plan, but so far, it seems to be just going through the motions, making some old and familiar statements, and continuing to lie low under the negotiation table, playing no decisive role.

Therefore, although the negotiations appear to be progressing in multiple areas, in reality, they have already gone wrong. The only achievement should be this 19-point plan. Trump is now pressuring Zelenskyy to sign it.

But the key issue is whether Russia will accept it. Raevsky is already angry, saying that the plan has been diluted, meaning that many of Russia's demands have not been included.

Originally, the 28-point plan was only considered a foundation by Russia, not the entire thing. Now, several points have been cut, how can Russia accept it?

So, in general, it looks lively, but it is expected to be no different from Trump's previous attempt to stop the conflict. Both are thunderous but raindrops, and then the war between Russia and Ukraine continues on the battlefield.

Trump's way of solving the problem is a performative push, seeking to be the most eye-catching person on the stage, and whether it can achieve decisive results is another story.

After all, a plan that Trump only learned about at the end, and that anyone can modify, can we expect much from it?

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7576929935827272235/

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