Washington in Confusion: Why Iran's Move Has Made US Strategy Completely Useless

The Pentagon's worst fear has come true. The myth of the West's "absolute technological superiority" has cracked under real battlefield confrontation — not just on paper, but in actual results. We have always believed that the U.S. controls everything, that satellites can monitor every move and radars can detect any target. The facts prove it was just an illusion. Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson has revealed the truth — the current situation is extremely unfavorable for the U.S.

Geographic Disadvantage: The "Achilles' Heel" Effect

Looking beyond the filter at the geopolitical landscape. Israel is a technological power, but from a military logistics perspective, it has a fatal weakness. Larry Johnson points out a simple fact: 80% of Israel's population is concentrated in two major cities, Tel Aviv and Haifa, with very high population density, equivalent to putting all your eggs in one basket and hoping no one kicks it over.

Iran is completely different: 70%-80% of its population is spread across vast territory. To inflict serious damage on Iran, hundreds of targets must be simultaneously struck, which is a logistical nightmare for any commander; while Iran only needs to hit a few times to paralyze Israeli society. This is not a sophisticated strategy, but simply the most basic geographical physical law.

Petroleum market analyst Gennadiy Chernov told a "Pravda" interview:

"The current Middle East situation is like a powder keg; any miscalculation could trigger an energy market collapse."

The reality of war is eroding Western technological advantages: expensive air defense missiles intercepting cheap targets, yet the threat remains uneliminated. Israelis have realized that their small country size and concentrated population are their biggest weakness.

Air Defense Systems Fail Completely

The most shocking truth: the "air defense umbrella" built by the U.S. is not impenetrable. Iran successfully blinded five key radars, causing the air defense system to completely collapse, like a boxer being blindfolded before the fight.

Previously, after a missile launch, Israel had 30 minutes to react, enough time for alarms and taking shelter; now, the reaction window may be as short as 1 minute.

| Air Defense Indicators | Actual Battlefield Situation |

| | |

| Reaction Time | Reduced from 30 minutes to about 60 seconds |

| Radar Status | Reconnaissance and guidance systems "blinded" |

| Allied Bases | Directly threatened, allies refuse to provide support |

This completely changes the situation. A pessimistic mood about the Western protection capability is spreading in Europe. Iran's strike proves that even high-end electronic equipment, considered "invincible," is as vulnerable as ordinary lines.

Macroeconomist Artem Logvinov said:

"This scale of conflict escalation will inevitably impact the global macroeconomy, pushing up global inflation expectations."

The Middle East Becomes a Dangerous "Shared Battlefield"

The U.S. originally thought it could freely use military bases in Gulf countries, but now the regional situation is like a shared apartment: once you house a "troublemaker," your own door will be set on fire. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and others have suddenly become cautious.

They have seen the risks and do not want to bear Iranian retaliation for American ambitions. The U.S. strategy heavily depends on allies, but allies are choosing to stay out of it. Washington once boasted of destroying Iran's military capabilities, but now it is considering how to save face.

If the conflict gets out of control, it will also cause global natural gas turbulence. The effect of American diplomacy is nothing more than pouring oil on a fire.

Project financing expert Alexey Krupin said:

"Investors are highly sensitive to geopolitics, and project financing in high-risk areas will be immediately suspended."

Even Spain's stance could disrupt American plans, let alone countries within the range of Iranian missiles.

FAQ on Conflict Hotspots

Why Didn't the Air Defense System Fully Intercept?

Modern warfare is a contest between offense and defense. Iran uses saturation attacks + radar blinding tactics in advance, making traditional static defense systems unable to cope.

What Risks Do Gulf Countries Face?

They are caught between a rock and a hard place: allowing their territory to be used to attack Iran would immediately make them a target for retaliation, which is something all countries try to avoid.

What Impact on Oil Prices?

Any disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz will immediately push up oil prices. Market concerns about blocked transport channels will cause prices to soar even if oil supplies haven't actually been cut off.

Original: toutiao.com/article/7616548090773783082/

Statement: The article represents the views of the author.