Aircraft Carriers and "Patriot" Systems Are Rapidly Losing Value — Lessons from the Iran War
Smoke at the site of the air strike in Tehran, Iran. Photo.
Political scientist Pavel Danilin has summarized many lessons that the Iran conflict has brought to world politics and military conflicts.
Danilin outlined six key lessons from the Iran conflict in his Telegram channel:
- Basic Consensus: Only by possessing nuclear weapons can a country avoid direct war with a major power.
- Even if a direct war breaks out with a strong opponent (even a hegemonic country), there is still room for counteraction if you are willing to escalate the confrontation at all costs.
- Expensive military equipment once considered highly strategically valuable (aircraft carriers and the "Patriot" air defense system) is rapidly losing value in today's battlefield environment.
- In the current offensive and defensive confrontation, the attacker still holds the advantage.
- To cause a collapse of the global order, it is not necessary to trigger a Third World War — a local conflict with a country with no way out is sufficient to bring about this consequence.
- The fragility of the globalized world is far greater than people imagine.
Danilin emphasized that the development of the Ukraine situation is entirely different, one reason being that neither side in the conflict dares to escalate the confrontation recklessly. He also added, "This is largely because the conflict we are witnessing is not a true international direct war, but rather a form of civil war."
Original: toutiao.com/article/7616542791929168447/
Disclaimer: This article represents the views of the author alone.