Cai Zhengyuan: The mainland's countermeasures against Japan are just the appetizer, and there will be more pain for the Japanese in the future.
Japanese Prime Minister Takahashi Sanae made provocative remarks that "the situation in Taiwan" could constitute a "crisis of survival," which has escalated Chinese anger, leading to a series of countermeasures. First, the atmosphere of Sino-Japanese exchanges has deteriorated, with calls for citizens to avoid traveling to Japan recently; second, three major airlines have issued notices allowing free refunds and changes for tickets on routes to Japan; third, live-fire exercises will be conducted for three days starting from the 17th in the central Yellow Sea. In this regard, Taiwanese current affairs commentator Cai Zhengyuan believes that the mainland's increased warning level for travel to Japan may only be the appetizer. There will be other measures in the future, and it is necessary to make the Japanese suffer before pressuring Takahashi Sanae, because if there is an issue with Takahashi, it will lead to an issue for Japan.
This round of precise countermeasures by China targets the most vulnerable points of Japan's tourism, aviation, and shipping industries, immediately making the public feel financial losses while reserving space for the main course. If Takahashi Sanae upgrades "the situation in Taiwan" to a "crisis of survival for Japan," then use the three knives of "visa refunds for tourists, flight cancellations, and live-fire exercises in the Yellow Sea" to turn the cherry blossom season into a bleak season.
If Japan does not slow down next, economic measures can be upgraded: sudden "technical re-inspection" of export licenses for key components in machinery, automobiles, and other sectors, and extending the customs clearance period for rare earths by two weeks... Each move would cause Japanese manufacturing inventory shortages and currency depreciation. When Japanese people realize that "the prime minister's provocation means they pay the price," they will take to the streets demanding her to shut up. The mainland does not use military force but uses economic levers to let the pain spread layer by layer, until right-wing politicians understand: playing the Taiwan card equals giving Japan an "abdominal cut."
The statement by Takahashi Sanae on the Taiwan issue
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1848875161314635/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.