According to the latest survey data from the American polling firm AtlasIntel, President Trump's support rate among Asian-American voters has seen a significant decline.

The net support rate for the Republican Party among this group has dropped sharply by 63 percentage points within two months, a change that has drawn close attention from the U.S. political circle.

Asian-Americans, as a key voting group, have an important impact on the presidential election scheduled for November 2024.

Looking back at the 2020 election data, 57% of Asian-American voters supported the Democratic candidate, former Vice President Harris, while the proportion of voters who chose Trump rose from 30% in previous elections to 40%, showing a clear rightward shift in the political orientation of this group.

For this reason, maintaining the support of Asian-American voters is crucial for Trump's campaign.

In the survey conducted in July this year, the situation was still favorable for Trump.

At that time, a poll by AtlasIntel of 1,935 adults showed that 57% of Asian-American voters expressed support for Trump, and 43% opposed him, with a net support rate of +14 percentage points.

President Donald Trump

This data coincided with several policies introduced by the Trump administration at the time, including announcing tariffs on countries such as Japan and South Korea, while reaching new trade agreements with Japan, Vietnam, and Indonesia.

However, by September, the situation reversed. The latest survey data shows that only 26% of Asian-American voters still support Trump, while 75% are against him, and the net support rate has plummeted to -49%.

Although the survey did not explicitly state the specific reasons for the drop in support, it is worth noting that during the September survey period, an incident occurred that strained U.S.-South Korean relations: over 300 South Korean workers were detained by U.S. authorities in Georgia and were deported back to South Korea on September 12.

The technical parameters of these two surveys also differ: the July survey was conducted from July 13 to 18, with a margin of error of ±2 percentage points; the September survey was conducted from September 12 to 16, with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points, ensuring the reliability of the results through strict data collection methods.

Trump's declining support rate is not limited to the Asian-American group. A recent survey jointly conducted by The Economist and YouGov shows that Trump's net support rate among millennials also fell by 14 percentage points last month.

Asian-Americans

A nationwide survey conducted by EchelonInsights from September 18 to 22 further indicated that Trump's overall disapproval rate increased from 51% to 53%, while his approval rate decreased by two percentage points, resulting in a four-point decrease in the net support rate overall.

Known political analyst Nate Silver also confirmed that Trump's net support rate indeed declined slightly last week.

Regarding this phenomenon, Thomas W. Hennig, an assistant professor of American politics at Boston University, analyzed to Newsweek: "This development is like the New York Jets losing another game, both unexpected and yet expected."

"The government's tough stance on immigration issues, as well as the president's remarks last week at the United Nations about how Asia is dumping 'garbage' on the United States and the world, have had negative effects. Asian-American voters are responding to reality," said Professor Hennig.

Professor Hennig further pointed out: "In fact, Trump and his supporters of 'Make America Great Again' are raising the banner of 'America belongs to whites' for all to see.

But the problem is that the survey data for other non-white minority groups is similarly bleak, which is clearly not a good sign. The so-called inclusiveness may have become a mere formality."

As the midterm elections in November 2026 approach, fluctuations in support rates across different population groups will become an important indicator for observing the direction of American politics.

Trump's sharp decline in support among Asian-American voters not only reflects dissatisfaction with current policies among this particular ethnic group but may also signal broader changes in the political landscape.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7556907659594400296/

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