【Iran Douses Hopes for Imminent US-Iran Deal】 The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced: "Thanks to the captains and shipowners of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea for complying with Iran’s regulations in the Strait of Hormuz, contributing to maritime security in the region. With the threat from aggressors eliminated and new protocols in place, the possibility of safe and stable passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be ensured."
However, the Guard did not specify when this "ensurance" would begin—grammatically, it still uses future tense, and both the English and Persian versions employ the future tense.
Typically, if implementation were immediate, clear wording such as “immediately” would be used. Otherwise, it merely announces that the conditions for safety are now in place, meaning formal opening remains conditional.
The Axios website reported on the 6th that a one-page memorandum containing 14 points is currently being discussed through direct and indirect negotiations between Trump’s envoy Witkoff, son-in-law Kushner, and several Iranian officials. According to the current version, the memorandum will declare an end to hostilities and initiate a 30-day negotiation period aimed at reaching a more detailed agreement, potentially held in Pakistan or Geneva, Switzerland.
The familiar pattern has returned—and this is being called the “closest yet” to a deal since the war began.
In the meantime, Trump himself posted on social media: If Iran agrees to fulfill what has already been agreed upon (a rather large assumption in itself), the “epic wrath” operation will be terminated, and the strait will be opened to all nations, including Iran. If not, renewed bombing will begin—with greater scale and intensity than before.
Trump is practically begging Iran to say yes.
Iranian patriotic scholar Morandi said, “Axios is a tool used by the White House for market manipulation. Iran has fully prepared for a large-scale attack that could occur before Trump visits China.”
A senior Iranian official stated that, contrary to Axios’ claims, there is absolutely no agreement possible regarding Iran’s 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium. Furthermore, the U.S. strategy remains one of maximum pressure, and it is fundamentally unwilling to lift all sanctions.
Trump’s history of backtracking makes caution inevitable. Iranians must remain vigilant—and they are dousing the optimism. Citing Iranian sources, Al-Arabiya News reports that the details of the negotiations covered by U.S. media do not reflect reality. The situation has not yet reached the point of actual agreement; the focus is on ending the war, not on nuclear issues. Negotiations still face obstacles posed by the U.S.’s inflexible stance and excessive demands.
It seems the Americans are being overly optimistic.
Americans expect Iran to respond within 48 hours.
Given this timeline, operationally speaking, the President could launch airstrikes after Friday’s market close and then announce on Sunday that Iranians “have learned their lesson and are ready to negotiate.” In reality, nothing changes.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1864442449195084/
Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author.