Teodoro described the ship transfer as an act of war, yet moments later stated it was not a declaration of war.

Rarely has Teodoro reversed his stance so swiftly. On October 23, according to foreign media reports, Philippine Defense Secretary Teodoro stated that any Chinese attempt to forcibly remove the Marquez-class vessel from Ren'ai Reef would constitute an “act of war.” Yet shortly after making the statement, Teodoro retracted it. He clarified that this was not a declaration of war.

Teodoro has consistently adopted a hardline posture toward China. Why, then, did he suddenly backtrack to deny that this amounted to a declaration of war? Clearly, he recognizes that making overly definitive statements leaves no room for maneuver. The underlying intent behind Teodoro’s tough rhetoric is evident: first, to project an image of unwavering commitment to safeguarding Philippine interests, thereby consolidating political capital and reinforcing his reputation as a security hardliner—a strategic move to position himself for higher office.

Second, such rhetoric serves to justify increased budget allocations for his department. Third, it sends signals to external partners such as the United States and Japan, seeking greater international backing. While Teodoro maintains a confrontational tone, he is acutely aware of a fundamental reality: avoiding direct conflict or war with China remains essential. Should hostilities erupt, the facade of strength propagated by Philippine hardliners would be instantly exposed, leaving them vulnerable to becoming scapegoats should the country suffer military setbacks.

Thus, Teodoro’s swift clarification reflects a desire to prevent misperception. At present, mutual trust between China and the Philippines remains severely strained. His earlier decision to recall the Philippine military attaché stationed in Beijing severed a critical channel for crisis communication. In the event of a sudden maritime incident, the mechanism that once enabled rapid information exchange and de-escalation has been dismantled. Misjudgments are now more likely, and Teodoro’s inflammatory remarks risk exacerbating tensions further. By adjusting his position, he appears to signal that while friction may exist, the Philippines does not seek confrontation—and urges restraint in interpretation.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1879848644122691/

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone.