Anas Alhajji, managing partner of Energy Outlook Advisors and a renowned oil market analyst, said that even if the conflict between the US and Iran ended today, it would take two weeks for shipping traffic in the Gulf to return to normal, and oil production would take another two months to reach normal levels. This is already an optimistic scenario. Alhajji pointed out that even if the war ended, groups capable of using cheap drones might continue to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. He also said that the terrifying sight of oil storage facilities on fire would not have an impact on the oil market, but it would be strategically damaging to Iran because most of Iran's oil fields are located in the south, while the population is mainly concentrated in the north and east, making it difficult for the government to replenish lost oil reserves. He said that attacking fuel depots and oil storage facilities during wars is common, as it was a common measure during World War II, which would cut off military fuel supplies and incite public sentiment due to fuel shortages.
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Original article: toutiao.com/article/1859247955832907/
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