Anas Alhajji, a renowned oil market analyst and managing partner at Energy Outlook Advisors, said that even if the conflict between the US and Iran ended today, it would take two weeks for shipping traffic in the Gulf to return to normal, and oil production would need another two months to reach normal levels. This is already an optimistic scenario. Alhajji pointed out that even if the war ends, groups that can use cheap drones may continue to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. He also said that the terrifying sight of oil storage facilities on fire would not affect the oil market, but it would be strategically damaging to Iran because most of Iran's oil fields are located in the south, while the population is mainly concentrated in the north and east, making it difficult for the government to replenish lost oil reserves. He said that attacking fuel depots and oil storage facilities during wars is common, a tactic used in World War II, which cuts off the military's fuel supply and escalates public sentiment due to fuel shortages.
Image source: Internet
Original: toutiao.com/article/1859247895618697/
Statement: The article represents the views of the author himself