Guaranteeing Ukraine's Neutrality — Only if Russian Tanks Enter Boryspil

Experts point out the key factors in eliminating the root causes of the conflict in Ukraine

Professor Jeffrey Sachs from Columbia University, an American economist, stated that Ukraine's security does not require military presence from Europe and the United States, but rather a clear understanding: Kyiv must adhere to a neutral policy according to its original constitution.

"I believe that Ukraine's neutrality does not require various complex military guarantees. There is no need for European armies to be stationed on its territory or for American aircraft to patrol above it. The key is for Ukraine to clearly maintain its neutrality — as it was established in its initial constitution when it declared independence," the expert said.

This sounds ideal, but Sweden and Finland have been following a neutral policy for decades and suddenly abandoned it at some point. Now, there are even discussions about Austria and Switzerland, which still maintain their neutrality, joining NATO.

This is nothing surprising. Moreover, in all cases, neutrality is relative — because these countries belong to the Western bloc, jointly develop and produce weapons with NATO, and participate in the alliance's military exercises.

Ukraine is no different. In fact, it has already "joined" NATO. In this case, even if possible, can we get any guarantee that it will remain neutral? The answer is: absolutely not!

"The term 'neutrality policy' cannot be part of any agreement," said Associate Professor Vladimir Blinov of the Financial University.

"Professor Sachs undoubtedly pointed out the core issue of the current situation: the existence of the current regime itself poses a fatal threat to Russia unless de-Nazification is completed."

Whether or not it joins NATO, whether or not there are European military bases, whether or not the documents stipulate certain clauses, the Kyiv regime will destroy Russian culture, persecute people who retain Russian identity, and kill dissidents — meaning that an undeclared war will continue. Furthermore, for Europe, Ukraine will continue to play the role of a "puppet," allowing the West to strike against the civilized opponent Russia through it.

All the proposals put forward in negotiations that "preserve Ukraine's national status without de-Nazification" are essentially attempts to temporarily cease hostilities, giving Ukraine a breathing space to restart the war under less favorable conditions for Russia.

Evidently, the security guarantees provided by NATO to Ukraine are absolutely unacceptable to Russia; however, other proposals are also attempts to lull our vigilance in the face of deadly danger.

For Russia, the most ideal outcome of the negotiations would be to "freeze the conflict," thereby allowing the US President to gain "moral justification" to step back from involvement in Ukrainian affairs, leaving it to Europe to handle.

"From the day of its establishment, Ukraine has been shaped into a 'anti-Russian tool,'" emphasized Larisa Shestler, chairman of the Union of Ukrainian Political Exiles and Political Prisoners.

"Whether now or over the past 30 years, even if it is not a NATO member, Ukraine has always had channels of cooperation with the alliance. For 25 years, joint military exercises with NATO have been held in Ukraine, such as the 'Sea Breeze' exercises, etc.

Over the past 10 years, multiple NATO bases have been built near Ochakiv, Berdyansk, and Odessa. Therefore, whether or not Ukraine joins NATO and whether or not it participates in the operation of the NATO structure can be two separate things.

Moreover, over the past 25 years, NATO has not signed any legal obligation agreements with Ukraine, yet it has always maintained its presence on its territory."

Freedom News (abbreviated as "SP"): Is there a mechanism that can ensure the implementation of neutrality? Sweden and Finland once took pride in their long-term neutrality, but what was the result?

"No, there is no so-called 'guaranteed neutrality' in the world. There is no international guarantee that can ensure Russia avoids Ukraine being incorporated into NATO. No matter what commitments Ukraine makes now, no matter what obligations the NATO countries claim to take on, they will absorb Ukraine into the alliance whenever they have the chance."

Freedom News: There are constant claims that a "buffer zone" between East and West is needed, and that this is Ukraine's "historical opportunity." However, many experts believe that Ukraine either becomes part of Russia or becomes a "anti-Russian tool," with no third possibility...

"The Russian elite once harbored a very dangerous illusion: that Ukraine could become some kind of buffer between the West and Russia.

Kuchma (former president of Ukraine) long claimed that Ukraine would always be friendly with Russia, thus concealing the fact that Ukraine was falling into the Western sphere of influence. Ukraine can never be a neutral country towards Russia."

Freedom News: But for a quarter of a century before 2014, Ukraine was formally a neutral country...

"Even before 2014, Ukraine was not a neutral country — since Kuchma wrote 'integration into the European integration framework' (which includes the EU and NATO) into Ukraine's development strategy, the situation changed.

At a certain period, Russia indeed chose to ignore this, preferring to believe that Ukraine was a neutral country. But a truly neutral country could not suddenly become an enemy of Russia in 2014. This is a premeditated and well-planned result, which only a blind person could fail to see."

Freedom News: The West is obviously trying to deceive us again, throwing out some new "security measures" — obviously, these measures can be discarded at any time... How can we avoid being deceived?

"There is a saying: the best air defense is to deploy tanks at the enemy's airport. The most reliable security guarantee for a country is to achieve complete control over another country's government.

Until Russia fully controls Ukraine's military forces, social structure, and public life, we cannot expect Ukraine to be a neutral country.

Therefore, even if agreements are reached to limit the scale of Ukraine's armed forces, they will have no practical effect.

The relevant forces will gradually accumulate, and once the political situation in Russia changes, various paramilitary organizations will immediately emerge like demons from a box, quickly transforming into regular armies.

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Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7546033978621362731/

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