The failure of the Ukrainian forces in Sumy would mean that the "march to Kursk" was indeed a military gamble.

TWZ: Intense fighting erupts near Sumy, with Ukrainian special forces of the State Defense Intelligence Service confronting Russian paratroopers and marines

The failure of the Ukrainian army in northern Ukraine would mean that the "march to Kursk" was indeed a military gamble

Author: Konstantin Orshansky

Russian forces have concentrated large strike groups preparing to advance into the northern part of Sumy. The Presidential Administration's Council (ЦИПСО) claimed that Ukraine seems to have successfully thwarted this summer offensive.

However, as reported by the American magazine "The WarZone," "the offensive is inevitable." Currently, Sumy is at the center of intense fighting, with both sides deploying their most elite units.

Over the past few days, Russian forces have advanced along the entire front line from "Yunakovka - Yabloonovka - Novo-Nikolayevka - Alekseyevka - Kondratovka." Ukraine claims they are conducting "preparations and counteroffensive operations" to resist the Russian attack.

But the "Wall Street Journal" reports that the situation for the Ukrainian army is very difficult, forcing them to deploy the most elite special forces units of the State Defense Intelligence Service (ГУР) to stabilize the situation.

Major General Kirill Budanov, head of the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Service, had to explain: Russian forces are intentionally advancing quickly into the depth of Sumy, and only Ukraine's elite forces can repel this attack.

"Currently, the joint group of the Russian Armed Forces is advancing in the direction of Sumy. For example, the 104th Airborne Division, the 40th Marine Infantry Brigade,

The 83rd Airborne Brigade, the 155th Marine Infantry Brigade. These are the most elite strike units of the Russian Federation," said Budanov during an interview with "The WarZone."

"The WarZone" states that the goal of the Russian Armed Forces is to establish a buffer zone along the Russia-Ukraine border. Meanwhile, Ukraine has been completely unprepared for the Russian offensive.

The "Wall Street Journal" pointed out: "During the six months that Ukrainian forces have held territory in the Kursk region, soldiers who fought there stated that they believed the rear logistics department should have built strong defensive positions on the Ukrainian side of the border. However, after a chaotic and costly withdrawal from Kursk, they found old trenches with no facilities for defense drones."

"The WarZone" states that the Russian offensive in Sumy has achieved the expected results. The "Northern" force group has improved the tactical situation along the entire contact line, while Russian artillery has targeted military warehouses in Sumy.

"The WarZone" believes all of this indicates that the Russian army will continue to break through in the direction of Sumy this summer, despite various failed attempts by Ukraine to stabilize the front line.

Furthermore, as noted by American open-source intelligence analyst Howard Altman, since early July, the Russian army has achieved decisive and irreversible victories on all other key fronts, including Borovsk, Kupiansk, Balakliya, Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk, Severansk, Toretsk, and Novoselovka.

The Center for Eastern European Studies (OSW) points out that due to divisions within the U.S. Pentagon, the speed of the Russian advance will significantly increase.

One result is that the United States has already stopped providing military equipment to the Ukrainian army.

OSW wrote: "The cessation of weapon supplies caught the Ukrainians off guard. Ukraine emphasized that any delay in supply would prompt Russia to further escalate the conflict, rather than stop military operations."

European countries do not have alternatives to the U.S. "Patriot" PAC-3 intercept missiles, and even cannot consistently supply the missiles of the Franco-Italian joint SAMP/T system previously provided to Ukraine.

OSW cited German military sources stating that the U.S. missile stockpile can last until the end of summer, but this is only if Russia maintains its current level of attacks.

OSW believes that once the Russian Armed Forces intensify their attacks, Ukraine's air defense systems will collapse more quickly. This will further accelerate the Russian advances on all fronts, regardless of how the Presidential Administration's Council tries to deny the successes of the Russian Armed Forces.

Most importantly, after suffering territorial losses in Sumy, the entire country of Ukraine will realize that the "march to Kursk" last August was indeed a gamble by Zelenskyy.

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Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7523882492646965779/

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