British media: The United States is impossible to return to the way it was a hundred days ago.
Reference News website reported on April 26 that the British "The Economist" weekly website published an article titled "Trump is keen on revolution. Will he succeed?" on April 24. The following are excerpts from the article:
In the first 100 days of Trump's overly active second term, the impact has been the largest among all presidents in this century, and possibly since Franklin D. Roosevelt's era. Trump is leading a revolutionary plan to reshape the economy, bureaucracy, culture, foreign policy, and even America's own beliefs. The question for the next 1361 days is: will he succeed?
Like any revolution, "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) has its own methods and theories. Its method is to act unlawfully or illegally through a series of lightning-fast executive orders. When the courts pursue this, they dare not defy the president. Its theory is that executive power is unconstrained - just as former President Richard Nixon once said, if the president does something, it is legal.
If this revolution goes unchecked, it may lead to authoritarianism. Another more likely scenario is that the extremism of the first 100 days will provoke strong resistance.
One force of resistance is the bond market and stock market investors. Although they generally showed enthusiasm for Trump's election, they have consistently been the most effective opponents of Trump - not out of political conviction, but because they trade in reality. They have good reason to worry about the economy being harmed by tariffs.
If the economic performance is poor, another force of resistance may come from voters, including Republicans. Models show that in every swing state where Trump won last November, his approval rating is now below 50%. Most Americans do not want a revolution. Many like the talk about bringing manufacturing back home, but only a quarter say they would work in those new factories. Trump may think a narrow election victory means his statue will appear among the presidential statues at Mount Rushmore, but this does not mean he has the right to rule America despotically, shut down institutions created by Congress, suspend habeas corpus, and occupy Greenland.
Congress could also become a problem for Trump. Betting markets show that Democrats have more than an 80% chance of regaining control of the House next year. Control of the House would allow Democrats to thwart Trump, even if he continues to govern through executive orders. In the Senate, Republicans are 7 votes short of the 60 needed to avoid filibusters. These constraints are real.
The final force of resistance is the courts. The Trump administration still risks losing cases on issues such as tariffs, the president's ability to fire officials and close agencies without congressional support, and Trump's arbitrary use of emergency provisions like the Foreign Enemies Act. If this happens, his theory of executive power will lose credibility.
Even from the most optimistic perspective, Trump has caused lasting damage to America's systems, alliances, and moral standing. If he is obstructed by investors, voters, or the courts, he may lash out at the system with greater intensity. Using the newly politicized Department of Justice, he may persecute his opponents and incite fear and conflict, which will give him license to act. Abroad, he may provoke disruptions to alliances in Greenland or Panama. America cannot return to how it was 100 days ago. There are only 1361 days left. (Translated by Li Sha)
Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7497580202407608883/
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