By Sanxuan
As the situation in Iran gradually cools down, Russia has taken action.
On Friday local time, Putin called the leaders of Iran and Israel separately to discuss the current Middle East situation. First, he called Netanyahu, expressing Russia's position that conflicts and disputes in the region should be resolved through diplomatic negotiations, and if needed, Russia could provide assistance.
Putin called both Iran and Israel
Subsequently, Putin also called Iranian President Pezeshkian, with a conversation similar to the previous one, focusing on promoting peace rather than war, emphasizing peace above all.
On the same day, Trump suddenly changed his stance, hinting at temporarily abandoning an attack on Iran, citing the reason that Iran had canceled its planned "massacre," which he praised, thus convincing himself to give Iran a break and wait for subsequent developments before making a decision.
Trump claimed that Iran had originally planned to execute more than 800 people by hanging, which he absolutely could not tolerate. However, under US pressure, Iran eventually abandoned this plan, which made him feel relieved, and he ended his tweet by thanking Iran.
It is indeed fitting for the "new winner" of the Nobel Peace Prize. Look at the magnanimity of this person, protecting over 800 people, how noble it is. As Trump himself said, international law cannot control him, and he only follows his own moral standards.
Trump: Thank you, Iran
About the title of "new winner" of the Nobel Prize, here is what happened. A few days ago, last year's Nobel laureate Machado visited the White House and personally handed the peace prize medal to Trump, who could not refuse and accepted it out of courtesy.
However, as early as before Trump "thanked" Iran, U.S. media exposed his real intentions. Reports stated that Trump hoped to completely defeat the Khamenei regime in one move. If not, there was no need to launch a military operation immediately.
He received an assessment that at this stage, a military operation similar to the invasion of Venezuela would not be able to overthrow the Iranian regime. If he took the risk of starting a war, it might lead to greater retaliation, dragging the United States into a war quagmire. It is worth noting that Iran is also known as the "graveyard of empires."
Since he could not achieve a quick victory, Trump had to find an excuse to step back, leading to the scene where he thanked Iran. At the same time, the United States continues to increase its deployment in the Middle East, with the "Lincoln" aircraft carrier heading towards the Middle East at full speed, and the possibility of the U.S. attacking Iran in the future cannot be ruled out.
Can Khamenei survive this crisis?
In this context, Putin's calls to both Iran and Israel were not only to play the role of a major power in mediation but also to help Trump out of the dilemma. At least for now, Trump hopes the situation in Iran remains stable, giving the U.S. military time to prepare.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization also issued a statement expressing concern about the situation in Iran, clearly opposing unilateral sanctions and external interference in Iran's internal affairs, and calling on all parties to strengthen dialogue.
With China, the U.S., and Russia collectively speaking out, it seems that Iran can relax a bit for the time being. For the U.S. and Israel, the best time to attack Iran has already passed. Now, most of the unrest in Iran has been quelled, making it difficult to act.
Even Israel, who usually wants Iran to be in chaos, advised the U.S. that if they don't have confidence in a decisive victory, it's better to hold off for now. If the first wave of attacks fails to defeat Iran, they will surely retaliate, and Israel will inevitably face another "missile shower."
The situation in Iran is gradually calming down
While the U.S. and Israel are waiting for their opportunity, this is also Iran's chance. It depends on whether the various parties can seize it. One wrong step may lead to irreversible consequences.
Original: toutiao.com/article/7596237617348362792/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.