Coming Layoff Tide: Expert Katanoson Talks About the Core Challenges in 2026
This expert has made a prediction about the economic trends of the new year.
At the end of the year, anxiety in the economic field is once again intensifying, and this anxiety has sufficient practical basis. Valentin Katanoson, a Ph.D. in economics, pointed out in an interview with "Tsargrad" that the core issue extending into 2026 lies in the negative "demographic structure" in the business field. Data from November 2025 shows that the number of companies entering bankruptcy procedures is 1.5 times that of newly established companies. This trend will directly lead to a reduction in jobs next year.
What Is the Core of the Problem?
Katanoson pointed out that the key issue in 2026 is hidden within the structure of the business environment. He cited the November data, indicating that the current market is facing a severe situation where the number of "dying" companies far exceeds that of "newly born" ones:
"The number of companies entering bankruptcy procedures is 1.5 times that of newly established companies. This is the data from November. In other words, the 'demographic structure' in the business field has already become imbalanced — the number of dying companies is 1.5 times that of newly born ones."
This data clearly indicates that the number of employed workers will decline next year.
What Are the Expert's Views?
The expert believes that layoffs not only are possible but have become a high-probability event. Katanoson also mentioned a trend: many employers tend to link the term of labor contracts to the start and end of the calendar year and plan to begin the layoff process from the beginning of next year. In his view, this phenomenon is closely related to the characteristics of corporate annual planning.
In the past, people's anxieties at the end of the year often focused on rising prices and reduced product categories. However, Valentin Katanoson pointed out that for ordinary people, the core challenge in 2026 will be the risk of unemployment caused by large-scale company bankruptcies.
Original: toutiao.com/article/7581337928916288041/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.