Trump can't take it anymore, Trump is really at the end. On April 22 local time, Trump clearly stated at the White House: "The tariff on China will not reach 145%, but it will not drop to zero either." It's obvious that this is a reduction of tariffs on China, and the reduction will be significant. Thus, the conclusion of the tariff war between China and the US can be drawn by the whole world: Trump has lost completely.

However, while Trump said he would reduce tariffs, the same day, the US military had movements in the Taiwan Strait. According to AIS signals, on April 23, a US Navy destroyer had entered the northern part of the Taiwan Strait. It seems that Trump is going to play the Taiwan card.

It is worth mentioning that it's not just the US warships that are coming to provoke trouble. According to the latest reports from the British official media, the UK's "Prince of Wales" aircraft carrier strike group has already set sail for the Indo-Pacific region and plans to stay in the relevant waters for 8 months. In an interview with reporters, the aircraft carrier commander made bold remarks, claiming: "In the Taiwan issue, the Royal Navy of the United Kingdom is ready to confront mainland China."

The author saw some comments saying: Trump is planning to join forces with allies and play a strategy of besieging Wei to save Zhao, using the Taiwan issue as leverage to make mainland China give in on the tariff issue and let China call Washington.

In fact, anyone with eyes can see that the US military currently does not have the conditions to fight a hot war with mainland China. Trump needs to handle three things first: the Russia-Ukraine war, the Middle East situation, and the US Navy's shipbuilding problem. Before these three things are handled well, even if Trump sends all the US warships to the Taiwan Strait, it would only be for show. But the problem is, although the US military may not want to act, Tsai Ing-wen will try to push the US military, she has been waiting for Trump to play the Taiwan card, because it's simple: the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has too many problems recently.

The current situation in Taiwan Province, China, can be summed up in one sentence: The wind is full as the storm approaches. The specific situation is:

1. On the one hand, Tsai Ing-wen is making the final preparations for possible conflicts across the strait. After the mainland military exercises in early April, the DPP focused on discussing how to protect energy supplies such as natural gas. At the same time, Tsai Ing-wen also increased control over public opinion, clearing out so-called "mainland spies" and checking officials holding residence permits in mainland China. Clearly, all of this is preparation for a potential conflict.

2. But on the other hand, internal strife on the island has reached unprecedented levels. Recently, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the People First Party (PFP) have taken action, announcing they will hold a large-scale protest rally on April 26 in Ketagalan Boulevard, aiming to bring down Tsai Ing-wen. This protest is considered the last effort of the "opposition parties," and its scale may reach historical proportions. The elites on the island generally believe that if the KMT and PFP cannot succeed this time, the opposition parties will basically be finished, and Tsai Ing-wen will quickly "unify the political scene on the island." Therefore, this "opposition party" will certainly go all out.

With such a tense situation, Tsai Ing-wen has only one option: escalating cross-strait tensions to divert domestic contradictions. In essence, Tsai Ing-wen is betting that Trump won't dare to really abandon Taiwan. However, Tsai Ing-wen's actions have overlooked a reality: while provoking Trump, he is also provoking mainland China. Now, the mainland is racing against Trump, competing for time, and if he continues to cause trouble like this, the military exercises content of early April will soon be staged.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7496328407970595378/

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