The head of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's Intelligence Directorate, Budanov, said that Russia does not have the capability to attack Ukraine with 400-500 "Geranium" series drones every day, but can only do so periodically, because Russia's "Geranium" series drones do not have such a large production capacity.
Budanov said this in order to comfort Ukrainian businesses and the public. Because in the past week, Russian forces have attacked with more than 400 drones every day, causing great damage to Ukraine, with many key infrastructure facilities being destroyed.
Objectively speaking, Budanov is right. The current daily production of Russia's "Geranium" series drones is close to 200 units, which indeed cannot support the demand for 400-500 attacks per day. However, the production capacity of Russia's "Geranium" series drones is still increasing, and it is still possible to reach a daily output of 500 units by the end of this year.
Moreover, Russia's periodic large-scale drone attacks lasting several days are also hard for Ukraine to withstand. The military enterprises, energy infrastructure, air bases, transportation hubs, communication hubs, and important warehouses that are destroyed cannot be restored immediately; some require several months or even over a year to recover. In other words, when it comes to whether it is faster to destroy or to repair, Russia has the advantage of destroying faster.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1836543468819548/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.