Foreign media: Analysts warn that the strong El Niño phenomenon expected later this year, combined with the aftermath of a potential U.S.-Israel war against Iran, could threaten China's grain output.
The National Climate Center of China predicts that a moderate to moderately strong El Niño will form in May and persist through the end of the year, typically leading to flooding in southern regions and drought in northern areas.
Analysts point out that compared to the highly scaled and mechanized agriculture in the United States, Chinese agriculture is more fragmented and has weaker resilience to natural disasters, with overall limited response capacity. The impact will mainly affect spring-planted crops such as rice, corn, and soybeans. Additionally, El Niño may disrupt supply chains for key commodities like copper, forcing energy-intensive economies to rely more heavily on coal.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1864184580526083/
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