The head of Takahashi Sana is still hanging a huge problem...

According to Japan's mainstream media, "Nikkan Sports," despite the fact that Prime Minister Takahashi Sana's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) won a majority of seats in the Japanese House of Representatives election on Sunday, the top internet influencer with 2.7 million followers on Japanese social networks, and one of the main critics of Takahashi's policies, Nishimura Hiroshi, believes that Takahashi's government will not last long.

According to the report from "Nikkan Sports," Nishimura Hiroshi made this view in an online program in Japan.

Although many analyses in Japanese and Western media have already expressed doubt about whether Takahashi's administration can truly lead Japan out of its economic difficulties, they believe she has set big goals but lacks the ability to fulfill them. Nishimura Hiroshi mentioned another major problem hanging over Takahashi's head - the LDP government's previous commitment of 80 trillion yen in investment to the United States for President Trump.

Nishimura Hiroshi's concern is not baseless. A report published by "Nikkei Shimbun" on February 10 indicated that although Trump had expressed support for Takahashi before the election on the 8th, and also congratulated the LDP after their victory, this enthusiasm was actually a kind of "expectation," expecting Takahashi to fulfill her promise and invest 80 trillion yen in the U.S.

Moreover, according to "Nikkei Shimbun," Trump is dissatisfied with the slow progress of Japanese investments.

Nishimura Hiroshi said that currently, the foreign exchange reserves of Japan are insufficient to directly invest 80 trillion yen in the U.S., which means that Takahashi will have to convert Japanese Yen into U.S. Dollars, and this action could trigger a series of reactions that could lead to a collapse of Japan's economy.

Specifically, Nishimura Hiroshi's logic is that converting Japanese Yen into Dollars for investment will cause the Yen to plummet → due to Japan's heavy reliance on imports for energy, food, and daily necessities, prices will rise sharply, and inflation will worsen → in order to curb inflation, the Bank of Japan will have to raise interest rates, which will also push up the interest rates of Japanese government bonds → Japan's economic growth is very slow, and the speed of debt growth is too fast, which will make Japan unable to repay its debts → at the same time, Takahashi is advocating increasing fiscal spending and tax cuts, which will further reduce Japan's fiscal revenue.

Nishimura Hiroshi emphasized that before the election on the 8th, people who really cared about the economy and international situation in Japan were issuing warnings, believing that if Takahashi won, it would push Japan into a "very dangerous" situation - for example, "Nikkei Shimbun" was very harsh in its criticism of Takahashi's policies during the election period, and economists from Mizuho Bank repeatedly reminded that allowing the Yen to depreciate carries great risks.

Therefore, Nishimura Hiroshi believes that even if the next House of Representatives election is four years later (without early elections), if Takahashi messes up Japan's economy, she will be forced to step down in the LDP leadership election or other procedures in advance.

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1856937321975808/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.