Introduction: After India and Pakistan reached a ceasefire, the fundamental issues between them were not resolved, and the fragility of peace still exists. According to relevant agreements, the duration of the ceasefire between India and Pakistan was until May 18. Now that the deadline for the ceasefire agreement has arrived, India and Pakistan have not yet sat down to talk properly. Whether this will lead to renewed fighting and new conflicts is indeed worth paying attention to. On May 18, 2025, the India-Pakistan ceasefire agreement officially expired. The core contradiction resolution—India's threat to suspend the Indus Waters Treaty remains unresolved, and the dispute over Kashmir is still ongoing. [Image: "https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-axegupay5k/983a583ff7c24569a76a2abb654ce9ab~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1748138810&x-signature=thalc0xdCg3tRi5syo0qfk9YtX0%3D"] 1 India is unwilling to admit defeat and seeks revenge, while Pakistan chooses to stop when things are going well, but the contradictions between both sides have not been resolved with the ceasefire. The Modi government needs to shift domestic pressure from declining support rates by appearing tough abroad (a poll in February 2025 showed its support rate had dropped to 51%). However, this conflict clearly underestimated Pakistan's strength, resulting in a loss. India refuses to admit failure and begins celebrating victory nationwide, but the Indian leadership is still plotting retaliatory measures against Pakistan, especially taking some actions within Pakistan itself. Although Pakistan won a complete victory in the air war, it chose to stop due to overall strength considerations and reached a ceasefire with India. In a sense, Pakistan made concessions for peace. However, Pakistan's goodwill may not be understood by India, as India's national character is what it is. Even if India suffers too much loss, it will emphasize its victory and provoke again next time. After losing this time, India is determined to make up for its losses in the next confrontation. For Pakistan, it really needs to formulate good preventive strategies. [Image: "https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/862c1a9f789440d7b53c3f4c831f8ff9~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1748138810&x-signature=kibhzXIjyWOKhcss0hvVdyXqvQY%3D"] 2 Peace has not yet arrived. Pakistan's "double-front battlefield," the Afghanistan border and the Balochistan rebellion. Although a ceasefire agreement has been reached, the calm that Pakistan hoped for has not arrived. After the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, there has been no quiet within Pakistan itself. Various armed groups have carried out attack operations, and fierce clashes have occurred in the border areas near Afghanistan. Pakistan has repeatedly submitted irrefutable evidence showing India's support for Balochistan armed groups, but India completely ignored Pakistan's evidence. Balochistan even once occupied the office building of the local government, which was very arrogant. At the Afghanistan border, the Durand Line dispute and refugee crisis often lead to fierce clashes. The "Durand Line" drawn by Britain in 1893 divided the Pashtun people into two parts. The Taliban regime in Afghanistan refused to recognize this boundary. In 2025, clashes broke out due to the construction of sentry posts, resulting in the deaths of 19 Pakistani personnel and the death of 51 Afghan civilians. A large number of Afghan refugees are stranded in Pakistan, putting great pressure on Pakistan. During the process of repatriating Afghan refugees, tensions arose, leading to attacks in the border areas. According to reports by the Afghan News Agency on May 17, a patrol team from the Pakistani border clashed fiercely again with the Afghan Taliban border forces in the Bamarm area near the Durand Line. It is reported that this clash directly led to the deaths of two Taliban soldiers—one of the deceased being the logistics commander of the Taliban Al-Mansouri Fourth Brigade. This clash also resulted in five Pakistani soldiers being injured or killed and four other Taliban soldiers being wounded. Such clashes frequently occur, and the Afghan Taliban colluding with the Pakistani Taliban bring great trouble to Pakistan. [Image: "https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/fe16f915b0d345309e3325a08828965b~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1748138810&x-signature=ynUqmo7FRmnryZUjtRTED4NwmzU%3D"] 3 Balochistan, India's "shadow war" and resource contention, make Pakistan's strategic situation anything but relaxed. In May, the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) captured Mangocher City, seizing government buildings and energy facilities, directly threatening the key node of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Gwadar Port. Satellite communications records show that India's intelligence agency (RAW) provides funding and tactical training to BLA, using the Balochistan issue to restrain Pakistan's eastern deployment. Recently, armed groups in Balochistan openly declared independence, obviously aiming to add more pressure on the Pakistani government amidst the chaos. Balochistan contributes 40% of Pakistan's natural gas production, but 70% of residents remain below the poverty line. Armed groups burn land deeds, livestream "anti-exploitation" to incite separatism. Baloch armed groups use civilian drones to scout military movements, with single-unit equipment costs as low as $500, yet forcing the Pakistani military to invest ten times the resources to eliminate them. By supporting BLA to consume Pakistan, India achieves an effect equivalent to a $2 billion military exercise at an annual cost of $200 million. Pakistan's "being attacked from both frontiers" is actually a microcosm of the survival dilemma faced by edge countries in the era of globalization. Pakistan's strategic situation is far from relaxed. [Image: "https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-6w9my0ksvp/938baba1a6b94560a6158a1e86526f27~tplv-tt-origin-web:gif.jpeg?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1748138810&x-signature=jqb%2BBC5uT4ENlCTFi0jGeD5W2Fc%3D"] Original article: [https://www.toutiao.com/article/7505576652082004515/] Disclaimer: This article only represents the author's personal views. Please express your attitude by clicking the "thumbs up/thumbs down" button below.