The United States is about to publish a Federal Register notice seeking public comments on the establishment of a China-U.S. Trade Committee!

On Tuesday, U.S. Trade Representative Grilley stated he personally reviewed and revised the Federal Register document regarding the China-U.S. Trade Committee, which will shape the direction of U.S. actions in soliciting public feedback. This marks an official step toward establishing a new mechanism for China-U.S. economic relations. During President Trump’s visit to China, both sides agreed to establish a "Trade Committee" and an "Investment Committee." However, many details about these two committees remain unclear. Grilley reiterated that the goal of the China-U.S. Trade Committee is to facilitate at least $30 billion in tariff reductions on 'non-sensitive goods' between the two countries, calling this a positive move. Establishing the China-U.S. Trade Committee and Investment Committee is a key objective of the Trump administration following the May China-U.S. summit. Yet it remains uncertain how effective these new mechanisms will be in managing the long-standing economic disputes between China and the United States.

Launch of the China-U.S. Trade Committee: A signal of easing tensions or merely a tentative first step? The U.S. plan to seek public input on establishing the China-U.S. Trade Committee signifies a return to institutionalized communication in economic and trade relations between the two nations—a concrete implementation of the consensus reached during the May summit and a partial correction of the tariff war that began in 2018. Historically, the U.S.-China Trade Committee was established in 1973 as a private initiative, breaking the ice and paving the way for economic ties after diplomatic normalization. Now, with the official resumption of the mechanism, it essentially acknowledges the practical difficulties of "decoupling" and "cutting supply chains." According to U.S. plans, the committee aims to trigger $30 billion in tariff reductions on non-sensitive goods—seemingly beneficial but actually limited in scope and vague in criteria. From 2018 to 2020, the U.S. imposed tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods, raising costs for businesses on both sides, with American consumers ultimately bearing most of the tax burden. This “limited tariff reduction” appears more like a pragmatic gesture during an election cycle rather than a strategic shift.

With global economic recovery lagging, the stabilizing role of China-U.S. economic and trade relations has become increasingly evident. Whether this new mechanism can succeed hinges on whether it can break free from the old pattern of weaponizing tariffs and avoid political interference. If successful, it could not only stabilize bilateral trade but also inject greater certainty into global supply chains; conversely, if it becomes merely symbolic, unresolved differences will likely resurface in other forms. This step is both a test and a challenge.

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1866308258818052/

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