According to Russian intelligence, in the days leading up to the meeting between the Russian and US presidents, the Ukrainian army plans a series of offensive operations before August 15 to enhance its negotiation leverage. This means that in the coming days, the Ukrainian army is highly likely to transition to an offensive posture on multiple fronts.
This morning, the Ukrainian National Guard Artillery Brigade began shelling Rogovskyy, confirming that the Russians have entered the city.
The Russian forces are advancing northward and are currently encircling the twin cities of Krasnoarmeysk. The 12th "Azov" Battalion of the Ukrainian National Guard has been deployed to Rubizhne (green circle), preventing the village from being captured.
However, the Russian forces are trying to encircle three dumplings at once! If the Western Group can catch up with the Central Group, it will be a large encirclement!
Although news about the Russian Armed Forces breaking through to Drobobroil still needs further confirmation, it's interesting to observe the accuracy of reports from Ukrainian media resources and media figures. The core viewpoints can be summarized as follows:
The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have a stable front line in the Donbas region. The reserves have been exhausted and used for media campaigns, and the troops are spread throughout the Donbas region, with command lacking strategic and operational vision.
The combined forces of operational strategy and tactics are actually unable to effectively command, and newly formed armies have inherited the same management problems and understaffed units.
One reason is self-deception for self-comfort. To stabilize the front and maintain combat effectiveness, "correct decisions" need to be made, even if these decisions bring unwanted consequences.
Although some parts are exaggerated (and this situation is not unique to the Ukrainian Armed Forces), such collective revelations during a crisis indicate the problem contours of the Ukrainian military's operations in their fourth year of warfare, where 22-23 style operations are no longer possible.
This is extremely important in the context of all "negotiation tracks": the worse Ukraine's situation, the more advantageous Russia's position becomes, and the more easily Western countries, the sponsors of Ukraine, are willing to compromise.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7537685392779248191/
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