【Iran's "treat-as" strategy is working】 This time, the U.S. and Iran have decided to sign a memorandum of understanding, following 17 hours of intensive diplomacy by Qatar.
During this period, Iran declared that if Israel does not cease its pressure on Lebanon, it will respond firmly. This greatly worried Trump. Surprisingly, Trump immediately conceded on remaining issues and discussions about "lock-in" provisions.
This gave Iran immense confidence, and convinced Persians that Trump was willing to compromise—or even intervene—to protect the agreement from Israeli sabotage.
The logic now becomes: the more Israel suppresses Hezbollah, the worse it is for Trump, ultimately undermining small nations at their roots.
If Netanyahu cannot be restrained, Trump will have no choice but to concede on terms of the deal with Iran.
In other words, Netanyahu has taken away Trump’s negotiating leverage.
Following this logic, Iran will certainly not ignore Hezbollah—it must go all out to protect it, making constraints on Israeli military conduct a necessary condition for negotiations with the U.S.
Iran’s strategy of deeply tying the U.S. and Israel together is proving effective: treating Israel’s actions as equivalent to those of the U.S., so that any Israeli violation of the agreement is treated as a U.S. violation. Only through the U.S. can Israel be effectively constrained.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1868198025586700/
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