Reference News Network, March 17 report: According to the website of the U.S. "Washington Post" on March 16, U.S. intelligence agencies assess that despite more than two weeks of relentless air strikes, the Iranian regime is currently likely to continue to hold power, weakened but more hardened, and the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard will exert greater control.
The report said that Western officials and analysts who study Iran issues believe that the Islamic Republic, which has existed for more than 40 years, is unlikely to experience a "regime change" in the short term. Two anonymous sources said that U.S. intelligence assessments released since the war began have predicted that the Iranian regime will remain intact, and may even be "bolder." The report believes that it can withstand Trump and survive. At the same time, the U.S. Arab allies in the Persian Gulf are angry and shocked at becoming targets of retaliatory attacks by Iranian ballistic missiles and drones.
An European official said that the most likely scenario after the war is that the "remaining Islamic Revolutionary Guard regime" in Tehran retains some nuclear and missile capabilities and is supported by regional proxies, but the regime will be "sufficiently weakened, putting us in a better position than before."
One of the informed sources said that Trump has been receiving "very alarming briefings" about U.S. intelligence. The person said that before he approved the war with Israel, he was told that the strength of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard might become even more solid. (Translated by Qiu Fang)
Original: toutiao.com/article/7618221579431969331/
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