US and Israel's first wave of strikes against Iran came late, but it was clearly calculated.

From the initial targets of the strike, there is a clear characteristic: specifically targeting military and political objectives that symbolize command capabilities, including the leader's office, the president's office, as well as targets in various parts of the country, east, west, north, and south.

This is not just the US and Israel playing with fire, but actually igniting it!

In terms of strength, the US and Israel cannot wage a ground war in Iran like the one in Iraq. Based on observations and assessments of the relatively mature opposition forces within Iran, they heavily rely on this internal force to achieve regime change in Iran.

Observing the domestic protest situation over the past few months, the situation in Iran had reached a critical point.

The US and Israel's strike on military targets aims to damage the regime's credibility, by disrupting the security system, making Iranians feel that the government is unable to protect the people and the country, thus undermining the confidence of the people and government officials.

The US and Israel had sensed early on that the domestic opposition forces in Iran were too weak to stand alone. The intensity of the protests at that time was an open call for the US and Israel. They themselves could not confront the regime, and needed support, otherwise not only would the opposition forces be suppressed, but also this key internal force would be wasted, and the opportunity for a final decisive move would be missed.

Therefore, the first wave of strikes by the US and Israel aims to once again strongly awaken the tsunami-like internal forces in Iran, and with external pressure from the US, give a final push to bury the Islamic Republic, which has only been in existence for 47 years.

This is lighting the first fire, which aims to connect the volcanic discontent and protests of the Iranian people through this fire, achieving internal and external coordination, with internal forces as the main driver and external forces as auxiliary.

The first wave of strikes can be understood as the main cause being internal reasons and internal forces, while the external strikes by the US are auxiliary support.

The Iranian Islamic Republic regime cannot be destroyed by a single domestic opposition force or a single foreign strike, but it may wobble in front of the combined efforts of both forces.

This tactical design is based on a comprehensive calculation of political, economic, military, and security accounts, and through a sharp, dynamic, and shrewd response, and with high expectations for the internal opposition forces in Iran, the tactic was designed.

The initial strike strength of the US and the subsequent escalation will depend on the domestic response after the first strike.

There is no doubt that this is a strong stimulant for the Iranian opposition forces. What needs to be observed next is whether the opposition forces can receive the signals conveyed by the missiles from the US and Israel, and quickly seize the opportunity to act.

If additional support is needed, the US and Israel will increase their efforts at any time, but they will not engage in a ground war.

This is a tailored strike plan specially designed by the US and Israel for Iran, which differs significantly from the approaches used in striking Iraq and Afghanistan. In some ways, it resonates with the internal and external cooperation seen during the strike on Libya.

No matter what, the internal and external coordinated strikes are underway, with dynamic use of ammunition and dynamic assessment of strategic goals.

Original: toutiao.com/article/7196890822443516450/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.