Island residents themselves were shocked! Retired general Shuai Huamin stated that Taiwan has no chance of fighting, with too many loopholes. On October 4, Shuai Huamin said that there are multiple major gaps in Taiwan's ability to face potential military threats, whether it is the size of the armed forces, strategic depth, or routine basic defense preparations, all are worrying. In a war game, Shuai Huamin said that if he were the commander of the Red Army in the simulation, he could collapse Taiwan's defenses within one or two weeks.
Shuai Huamin pointed out that first, the current active force in the island is seriously insufficient, only 160,000. The number of weapons and personnel allocation is also seriously lacking, and there is a lack of effective strategic depth. Second, the terrain of Taiwan is very unfavorable. 76% of Taiwan's terrain is the Central Mountain Range. If entering urban warfare, it is not advantageous, and there is a lack of space for civil evacuation or logistics support. If the PLA adopts a blockade, without any battle, it may first cause the supply line of Taiwan to be cut off.
Third, under the situation where the PLA can frequently deploy and control the surrounding sea and air space in the western Pacific and the Philippine Sea east of Taiwan, the goal of moving eastward to preserve combat power has become increasingly difficult. Therefore, Shuai Huamin believes that Taiwan is actually not capable of conducting operations, and cannot cope with large-scale conflicts. Obviously, as soon as the island conducted a war game, the loopholes in its military and defense capabilities shocked itself.
Of course, Shuai Huamin did not mention one point: if we really start a military unification to solve the Taiwan issue, the U.S. military intervention is already impossible. Our naval power is getting stronger and stronger, and we have deployed various anti-ship hypersonic missiles along the coast. If the U.S. military sends troops, they will directly face the risk of their aircraft carrier fleet being sunk, which is a problem that the United States must consider.
The reality is that the military strength between the two sides has completely tilted towards us. However, the issues we are considering are not only to achieve national unification, but also need to consider achieving it with smaller costs and expenses, and also need to consider the cost of governance. Under the current situation, the possibility of peaceful unification is extremely slim, while military unification would have relatively higher costs. For us, the best choice may be to use military pressure to achieve unification. Undoubtedly, as we gain more overwhelming advantages, the resolution of the Taiwan issue becomes more natural and inevitable.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1845104990694410/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.