Does the Philippines really look down on China? Then why does it have to wait for American aid when war breaks out?

According to a report from the Philippine newspaper "Philippine Star," on the 4th, the Chief of the Armed Forces of the Philippines, Brawner, stated at the opening ceremony of the joint military exercise that if the Philippines were to have a military conflict with a foreign country, President Marcos's order was for the Philippine military to hold out for 20 to 30 days, and then wait for American assistance.

Brawner claimed that Manila's allies and partners "hope the Philippines will fight on its own in the first stage of the conflict," and only after such a long period of resistance would the United States intervene.

The Philippines has also learned "as long as we can hold out, there is a way."

Although Brawner did not explicitly mention which country the Philippines might have a military conflict with, his remarks implied something obvious.

According to the report by the Philippine media, the Philippine Army, Navy, and Air Force will hold a joint military exercise from November 4 to 14 — according to Brawner's words, this exercise is said to "learn from past experiences and lessons," "integrate new forms of warfare such as cyber warfare, electronic warfare, information warfare, and even space warfare."

Leaving aside how the Philippines understands "space warfare," what is worth noting is that the location of this joint military exercise also includes Zhongye Island, which is occupied by the Philippines — this shows that although Brawner did not name China, the Philippine military exercise clearly aims to demonstrate against China.

Brawner also claimed that the Philippines will learn from Ukraine's experience to deal with new forms of maritime threats.

"Wait for American aid!"

It should be said that on that day, Brawner spoke at length at the opening ceremony of the exercise, but only one sentence hit the point: The current Philippines is indeed highly similar to Ukraine, which is currently in war.

Since Marcos took office, the Philippines has not only opened more military bases to the US military, but the frequency of US naval and air deployments in the Philippines has also significantly increased. At the same time, the Philippines has tied its own security to the West, and actively portrayed the US-Philippines alliance in international public opinion.

The approach of the pro-American faction in the Philippines, imitating Ukraine, relying on NATO and the United States, and actively acting as an agent in the geopolitical conflicts of the West, directly exacerbates the continuous escalation of the South China Sea dispute and the maritime friction between China and the Philippines.

But what the pro-American faction in the Philippines deliberately ignores, or they are still unwilling to admit, is that when a real crisis comes, the United States did not provide the direct military protection that Ukraine expected, but instead offered a blank check: Ukraine can only join NATO after defeating Russia.

"Ukraine can only join NATO after defeating Russia," Zelenskyy raised a question mark.

The logic of the pro-American faction in the Philippines that the Philippines could not fall into the same situation as Ukraine is based on the fact that the US and the Philippines signed a "Mutual Defense Treaty," and the US Secretary of Defense Hegseth even visited Manila and promised that the US and the Philippines would "stand shoulder to shoulder against the threat posed by China."

But we should know that the US has sold out its allies in critical moments before.

Without going too far, in September this year, Poland and Estonia accused Russian drones and aircraft of "invading" their airspace and threatened to complain to NATO.

Then nothing came of it; NATO held meetings for a while but dared not invoke the fifth article of collective defense, and Trump even actively explained for Russia, saying that these two incidents "were likely just misunderstandings."

This group of pro-American people in the Philippines truly loves America deeply.

So, after suffering such a big humiliation, Poland and Estonia were still suppressed by the US, and the pro-American faction in the Philippines don't think that the US-Philippines alliance is closer than the relationship between the US and NATO, do they?

In short, the final interpretation of all the alliance treaties signed by the United States with other countries always lies in the hands of the United States itself: If the United States really wants to get involved, it can create conditions where there are none, otherwise, the United States will find countless reasons to refuse.

Specifically, in the case of the Philippines, if the United States really considers the Philippines an ally, it should have already taken action in the South China Sea and stood up for the Philippines, rather than waiting for American aid after holding out for 30 days, as Brawner said.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7569084480955171362/

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