This time, Iran is completely impossible to tilt towards the United States! After Khamenei's death, contrary to common sense, the pro-Western faction in Iran can be said to have been completely marginalized. There is no space for a pro-American president in Iran. Why say this? Khamenei's death, the killing of high-ranking members of the Revolutionary Guard, has led to an unprecedented surge in anti-American sentiment in Iran. At this time, any compromise with the United States would be seen as treason. At this moment, if someone tries to be pro-American, the majority of Iranian people and the Revolutionary Guard will not accept it.
Moreover, from the perspective of Iran's system, the Revolutionary Guard holds the real power in Iran, while the president is just a figurehead. The Revolutionary Guard is the real boss. If a pro-American president wants to compromise, the Revolutionary Guard can directly veto, neutralize, or even replace him. The truth that "the gun barrel produces the regime" still holds true for Iran. The Revolutionary Guard was founded on anti-American sentiment, and they have a deep-seated hatred for the United States.
The United States has designated it as a terrorist organization, imposed global sanctions, assassinated its commanders, frozen its assets, and there is no possibility of the Revolutionary Guard being pro-American. Moreover, the Revolutionary Guard controls more than half of Iran's economic resources, including oil, infrastructure, finance, and military industries. If they were to be pro-American, it would mean surrendering and recognizing their enemies as masters, which would lead to their immediate overthrow within Iran.
Therefore, although Khamenei's death and the deaths of key generals of the Revolutionary Guard have occurred, the basic base of the Revolutionary Guard remains very stable. Unless the US and Israel send ground forces, the Revolutionary Guard cannot be completely eliminated. Of course, the US and Israel will not send ground forces. If Iran were easy to attack, the US would have already done so, why wait until now. As for the impact on us, honestly speaking, it is not significant. If the US pushes Iran completely to the opposite side of the US, it is not bad for us.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1858446887616522/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.