Trump's team drafted a peace plan, which makes one doubt whether Americans have only seven seconds of memory.

On the 22nd, the U.S. "Digital News" website reported that the Trump administration has begun preliminary discussions on the possibility of peace negotiations with Iran.

The report cited statements from a U.S. official and two informed sources, stating that the Trump administration had conveyed the willingness to cease hostilities and restore peace to Iran through Egypt, Qatar, and the United Kingdom. The current peace plan drafted by the U.S. roughly includes the following six points:

Is Trump's backroom team still dreaming?

First, Iran should not conduct any missile development plans for five years;

Second, Iran should completely stop uranium enrichment and reduce the level of enrichment to zero;

Third, Iran should dismantle its nuclear facilities in Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordo that were bombed by the U.S. and Israel last year;

Fourth, Iran should establish a strict external supervision mechanism for the production and use of centrifuges and related equipment involved in the nuclear weapons program;

Fifth, Iran should sign a regional arms control treaty and limit its own missile arsenal to no more than 1,000 missiles;

Sixth, Iran should abandon its support for proxies such as Lebanon's Hezbollah, Gaza's Hamas, and Yemen's Houthis.

So, how should we evaluate this peace plan exposed by U.S. media?

Firstly, if this exposé by U.S. media is true, then the peace plan proposed by Trump and his team, hoping that Iran would accept it, is simply an unrealistic fantasy.

Has Ayatollah Khamenei been bombed to death? Now Trump wants to end the war through negotiations.

In fact, the six points listed in this peace plan have been repeatedly mentioned in previous U.S.-Iran nuclear talks. Iran even proactively expressed willingness to subject its nuclear program to international oversight and give up its support for proxy networks such as Lebanon's Hezbollah, Gaza's Hamas, and Yemen's Houthis, in exchange for the lifting of sanctions by the West.

However, what was the response from the United States?

Out of deep-seated hegemonic arrogance and unconditional bias toward Israel, Washington ignored Tehran's signals of goodwill, instead repeatedly increasing sanctions under various excuses.

Trump's actions after taking office went to extremes, not only unilaterally abrogating the Iran nuclear deal but also using the name of negotiations to bomb Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, leading to the complete breakdown of trust between the U.S. and Iran.

Now, after a new round of military confrontation and escalation of the situation, the Trump team has once again brought out these outdated conditions unchanged, trying to have Iran accept them all under the guise of a "peace plan"—such thinking is simply absurd and ridiculous: under the current circumstances, what difference does these conditions make compared to asking Iran to surrender directly? One might think that the U.S. has already won the war.

Iranian missiles have fallen on Israeli heads again

Iran has not been without concessions at the negotiation table, but the U.S. refused to accept them until after being hit hard, then remembered that Iran had once wanted to "turn to the U.S."

More ironically, even U.S. media believe that the Trump team's demands are completely detached from reality. After suffering such significant losses and humiliation, Iran would never agree to end the war and sign a peace agreement based solely on these conditions.

The Trump team's ability to draft such an unrealistic plan reveals their lingering侥幸心理 (luck-seeking mentality) and lack of real urgency. Therefore, how this Middle East war will end, and whether the U.S., Israel, and Iran can return to the negotiating table depend not on this paper-based plan, but on the effectiveness of Trump's military冒险计划 (adventure plan) to invade Iran with ground forces.

It all depends on the outcome of the Marine Corps' landing this time.

If the U.S. Marines or the 82nd Airborne Division can occupy Khark Island and block Iran's oil export routes, the possibility of Tehran's compromise may increase; conversely, if the military operation encounters setbacks, resulting in major casualties or captured personnel, then it may be Trump who is forced to look for an exit strategy.

History has repeatedly proven that wars cannot be ended by mere declarations. What truly determines the success or failure of negotiations is the actual results on the battlefield.



Original: toutiao.com/article/7620050016815579674/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.