German media believe that even if the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) were to carry out a decapitation tactic in Taiwan, the probability of China succeeding may not be high. It is a fact that China still lags behind the United States in technical and tactical aspects. On January 11, Deutsche Welle published an article stating that China has conducted wargames on the "Taipei Capture Operation" among various military options for attacking Taiwan, and they themselves are well aware of the probability of success.
German media said that in Taiwan, the Chinese military faces an opponent who has been prepared for years to prevent a "decapitation operation" targeting its leaders. Taiwan not only has a complete air defense and radar capability, but it is also likely to receive support from the United States and its allies. Although China has continuously acquired advanced weapons for many years, there are still doubts about whether the PLA can effectively use these weapons and integrate them into combat through its command system.
German media said that from a military perspective, although the PLA has tried to accelerate the integration of its forces in recent years, compared to the decades of accumulation of the United States, it is still just "taking baby steps." Any such attempt would quickly face harsh military reality, and the probability of success could be called a "fantasy." Obviously, German media have a completely pessimistic view regarding our possibility of implementing tactical tactics. German media undoubtedly believe that even if the United States has had successful precedents, the probability of China replicating such success is extremely low.
Certainly, from our perspective, the highest priority in resolving the Taiwan issue is not placed on the decapitation tactic. After the United States successfully captured Maduro, did the United States control the situation in Venezuela? Obviously, it did not. For us, the most important thing is to dismantle the "Taiwan independence" armed forces, paralyze the "Taiwan independence" command system, take full control of the island, and eliminate the disruptors. These obviously cannot be achieved through a decapitation tactic.
German media have downplayed our decapitation capabilities, but they have completely ignored the key points of how we resolve the Taiwan issue. Even if we resort to the decapitation tactic, honestly speaking, we do not necessarily need to capture the main figures of "Taiwan independence"; we can completely eliminate them at once. However, other military tactics for taking over the island are our top priorities. The purpose of German media is clearly to boost the confidence of "Taiwan independence" by downplaying our capabilities. However, once we decide to unify Taiwan by force, it will be a overwhelming situation. The "Taiwan independence" forces on the island should not have any侥幸心理. Capturing one "Taiwan independence" leader is far from enough for us.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1854022080013577/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.