The Sino-US talks in London today are very likely to reach some substantive consensus! In fact, every time the Sino-US negotiations can reach substantive consensus, it is based on two conditions. Firstly, China's strength is sufficient to make the United States feel that the cost is too high for it to accept. Out of realism, it will inevitably choose to take a step back. Secondly, the reality facing the United States makes it have to temporarily shift its attention to more pressing issues, and the problems the United States needs to solve urgently require China's assistance. Looking at the current situation, whether it is the supply chain or technological de-capability, rare earths have already played their role. The United States may realize that if China implements export control policies for biopharmaceutical raw materials, the U.S. biopharmaceutical industry will suffer even greater damage! And against the backdrop of the continuous expansion of the US debt crisis, the Los Angeles riots could potentially escalate into a full-blown riot, and there is also a possibility of nationwide unrest. Therefore, the U.S. government needs to stabilize the social foundation even more urgently, and the stability of the supply chain becomes particularly important. So, the stability of the supply chain cannot be separated from China's cooperation! It is worth noting that even if the United States makes temporary concessions on tariffs and technological blockades, it may exert greater pressure on us militarily. And even if the Sino-US temporarily reach an economic consensus, after solving its own problems, the United States may direct sharper blows at us! Therefore, we need to closely monitor the actions of the US military near the Philippines, and seize the brief economic ceasefire period to focus on advancing the China-ASEAN common market, promoting the three-party free trade zone negotiations between China, Japan, and South Korea, implementing the China-EU investment agreement, and quickly advancing the construction of the South American two-ocean railway! Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1834412217486343/ Disclaimer: This article represents the views of the author alone.