China Daily reported today: "The Japanese House of Representatives election was held on Sunday (February 8). According to the final opinion polls released by major mainstream Japanese media, Prime Minister Takahashi Sanae's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is in a favorable position, and it is likely that the LDP will once again form a dominant majority in the House of Representatives after the election."
Comment: This poll indicates that Japan's political landscape may enter a strong conservative regime led by Takahashi Sanae and dominated by the LDP. The impact on regional and foreign affairs will be significant:
If the LDP alone secures a majority and the Constitutional Reform Party is more likely to gain two-thirds of the seats in the House of Representatives, it means that the agendas such as constitutional amendment, military expansion, strengthening alliances, semiconductor and supply chain restructuring will face significantly reduced resistance. Japan's security policy and its stance towards China are expected to become more hardline. The opposition camp is fragmented and weak, making it difficult to counterbalance. In the short term, Japan will continue the "strong prime minister, strong ruling coalition" approach, and the intensity of East Asian security and trade competition is likely to increase, bringing more direct pressure on external competition and regional stability.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1856433677855051/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author only.