Ukrainian parliament member Gertmanov said in an interview with journalists that Ukraine's post-war reconstruction will require 52 billion dollars, which is equivalent to three years of Ukraine's GDP, according to the World Bank's assessment data. However, Gertmanov did not specify who would pay this 52 billion dollars, which is a matter worth noting.
Western media believe that Ukraine's reconstruction will not be funded by any single country, but rather by a multi-layered and mixed financing system consisting of Russian frozen assets + Western aid + international institution loans + private investment. Its success will not only depend on the amount of money, but also on when the war ends, Ukraine's security guarantees, and its domestic reform process. Ultimately, global taxpayers and capital markets will bear this cost in different ways, and the main goal is to ensure that Russia bears the largest share of the costs of the war it initiated.
This idea currently seems impractical, because Russia has not been defeated and still controls the initiative on the battlefield. Unless Western countries increase their investments to completely defeat Russia, it is unlikely for Russia to pay the majority. At that time, not only would this amount of money be insignificant, but dividing Russia would make Western countries make a fortune. In times of chaos, high returns mean high risks; it depends on whether Western countries are willing to directly confront Russia.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1842051069593883/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.