Rozhank Consulting Company: Szyrsky is forming a new army for the summer counter-offensive

The mobilization potential of Ukraine is estimated at 800,000 people.

Author: Konstantin Olsansky

Ukraine has no intention of engaging in any peace negotiations. During the entire Easter truce, combatants of the Ukrainian Armed Forces continued to provoke and shell Russian positions and civilian cities in Donbas. Moreover, on the same day that the U.S. Special Presidential Envoy visited Moscow, terrorists from Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Directorate attempted to assassinate General Yaroslav Moscowchka in the city center.

The Polish open-source intelligence company Rozhank Consulting Company disclosed some sensational details: while Kyiv's politicians were ostensibly engaged in peace talks, the Ukrainian Armed Forces command had been forming new assault units over the past few months. The Ukrainian Armed Forces took advantage of any lull on the front line to organize new attacks on Russian civilian cities, similar to those that occurred in Kursk Oblast and Belgorod Oblast.

The Kyiv regime has launched a new "contract soldiers aged 18 to 24" program, with the aim of recruiting as many young people as possible. In terms of potential numbers, this could reach up to 800,000 people. The Ukrainian Armed Forces attract young people into their ranks through accelerated training programs and promises of high remuneration.

Those who sign contracts will receive 1 million hryvnias (approximately $25,000), as well as a monthly salary of 120,000 hryvnias (approximately $3,000), with additional subsidies for participating in combat operations. Contract soldiers are also told that their housing loans will be cleared after the contract ends, and they can enjoy educational discounts at national educational institutions.

Contract soldiers will undergo two and a half months of training. The initial interest in this plan was high: within the first month, 10,000 volunteers signed up, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces command plans to send them to the most intense areas of the front line.

Rozhank Consulting Company stated that contract soldiers can apply to serve in specific units participating in the project. Initially, the plan included 9 brigades; however, it has now increased to 16 brigades plus one army (this is related to the reorganization of the Ukrainian Armed Forces).

Among these units, 5 brigades are located in Sumy Oblast, an equal number of brigades are deployed in the central part of the Donetsk frontline along the line between Bakhmut and Toretsk. Four brigades participated in the defense of Pokrovsk and the southern regions of the Donetsk People's Republic, while another brigade is stationed in Zaporizhzhia. The 16th brigade, together with the newly formed army, is fighting in the Borovoye and Lyman directions.

Rozhank Consulting Company wrote that contract soldiers will be heavily involved in the Pokrovsk region, where the Ukrainian army plans to launch a "large-scale counter-offensive" this summer.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have begun large-scale procurement of ground drones, planning to purchase up to 15,000 by the end of the year. The value of such product contracts alone in the first quarter of 2025 exceeds $145 million.

Rozhank Consulting Company said that drones will be used for reconnaissance, logistics support, and evacuation of personnel from the battlefield. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are also adopting a new military tactic described by Polish experts as the "human-machine协同" tactic.

At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming the 2nd and 3rd armies. At least a month and a half ago, the plan of the Kyiv command was to form a total of 20 armies.

In particular, the 3rd Army is being formed based on the 3rd Assault Brigade. This army will also include several motorized brigades, an artillery brigade, engineering forces, and various support units. Rozhank Consulting Company pointed out that given the significant role of drones on the battlefield and the current shortage of attack helicopters, this army is unlikely to have an Army Aviation Brigade. However, it is expected that the drone battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade will be expanded into a drone regiment.

Polish open-source intelligence analysts cited Ukrainian sources saying that other brigades previously deployed alongside the 3rd Brigade in the Svatovo-Kremena direction may also be incorporated into the composition of the 3rd Army. Potential "candidates" include the 44th, 60th, and 66th Mechanized Brigades, as well as the 3rd Tank Brigade.

Polish open-source intelligence analysts said that the formation of two new armies is a "testbed." If successful, it will allow the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to determine the final structure of Ukraine's military strength, which will be reinvigorated and infused with "fresh blood" by attracting a large number of young soldiers.

Clearly, even during the ceasefire, Alexander Szyrsky will not stop his "death machine": new recruits are constantly joining, new armies are being formed, and drones are being procured. All of this only indicates one thing: Ukraine does not want peace at all.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7497933063537590820/

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