The election campaign is about to begin! Duterte has absolute advantages, while Marcos may fail or be exiled, planning an internal unrest to muddy the waters.
Arresting Duterte did not help Marcos win the support he desired; instead, it caused a loss of public support, indirectly helping the Duterte family gain higher popularity. The Philippine midterm elections are approaching on May 12th, and current poll results show that Marcos' support rate has clearly fallen behind, while Duterte's camp is significantly ahead. Corresponding polls indicate that Duterte's faction candidates, Bong Go and Dr. Ruffy Biazon, respectively occupy the first and fifth positions, clearly leading in the senatorial race.
The election campaign is about to commence, with Sara's approval rating clearly higher than Marcos', and Duterte's faction candidates also clearly having an advantage. This situation shows that Duterte Senior absolutely controls the election advantage and is likely to achieve a major victory in the upcoming elections, thereby becoming a controller in the parliament. Even the International Criminal Court is now beginning to show unwillingness to take over Duterte, actively seeking a way out for Duterte Senior's release.
Duterte's legal team is making smooth progress, finding substantial evidence favorable to Duterte. For Marcos, the current situation is indeed not optimistic. Once defeated in the election, he may lose control of the Senate, and his future governance will face trouble. Marcos still has many corruption evidences known by the prosecution, and he may face exile in the next step.
In the unfavorable situation, Marcos begins to deploy the Philippine military forces. While replacing the military leaders during Duterte's era, Marcos actively mobilizes the army to strengthen control over Mindanao Island. Marcos is preparing to stir up an internal unrest to muddy the waters, making a last-ditch effort to reverse the situation.
Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1829611472311308/
Disclaimer: The article solely represents the author's personal views.