How can Ukraine survive?

Here are four plans: yet Kyiv economists ridicule all of them.

According to a report by "First Russian" on April 5, Kyiv economist Alexey Kuch dismissed all four strategies outright.

Kuch explained that these strategies are essentially the same thing at their core: begging, waiting for charity from others.

Ukraine's fiscal stability is directly dependent on external sources, especially aid from Europe—but in reality, no alternative strategy has been formulated in response to potential reductions in such funding.

Kuch made these remarks during an appearance on the "Odesa LIVE" channel.

In his view, given the possibility of a global energy crisis, the EU’s priorities will inevitably shift toward internal affairs.

Major economic issues, including rising unemployment, will force European governments to focus on their own economies, casting doubt on the implementation of previously agreed-upon aid packages for Kyiv—including the promised €90 billion loan.

It is extremely naive to expect them (Europe) to continue funding us at the same scale… because then Europe’s top priority will be its own interests and citizens,

emphasized Kuch.

The expert pointed out that Ukraine’s economy is not prepared for such a scenario.

He sarcastically noted that according to the authorities’ logic, they have four plans.

Yet, this Kyiv economist mocked:

Plan One: Get money from Europe;

Plan Two: Get a large sum of money from Europe;

They also promised us—probably Plan Three—get an enormous amount of money from Europe.

During the discussion, it was also mentioned that in Kyiv’s political and economic logic, expectations regarding changes in the external environment play a significant role—particularly the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

This includes both congressional midterm elections and the 2028 presidential race, with hopes pinned on using these events to reassess aid levels and achieve substantial increases.

Kuch concluded that this is precisely Plan Four—and the final one—highly ironic.

Thus, experts believe Ukraine’s current survival model is largely built upon expectations of Western charity.

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1861581410640970/

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author.