India suspends Indus Waters Treaty with Pakistan, could trigger chain reaction?
The Diplomat: India's unilateral suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty with Pakistan could backfire, potentially prompting China to block the Yarlung Zangbo River, which provides about 30% of India's freshwater and approximately 44% of its total hydropower potential.
New Delhi's one-sided termination of the treaty sets a dangerous precedent in the region that could have adverse effects on India itself. For instance, China might emulate India's controversial move and block the Yarlung Zangbo River. The river supplies India with approximately 30% of its freshwater resources and around 44% of its total hydroelectric potential. China is constructing large dams on the Yarlung Zangbo River, and India's contentious actions regarding inland waterways might provide justification for further dam construction by China.
Moreover, India's decision may compel Pakistan to accelerate its cooperation with China in building dams in its Kashmir region. Pakistan and China are already collaborating on large dam projects such as Diamer-Bhasha, Dasu, and Mohmand, and India's recent threats might bring more attention and urgency to these projects.
India should not forget that China is a major stakeholder in these projects and has already invested billions of dollars in Pakistan's hydropower sector.
[India-Pakistan Situation]
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