Top 50 Economies by Global GDP in 2026
This is a forecast proposed in IMF's 2025 outlook.
The United States at 31.8 trillion US dollars, nominal GDP continues to expand, with an expected growth rate of 2.1% in 2026 and inflation. China at 20.7 trillion US dollars, having overcome the impact of RMB depreciation, is generally expected to appreciate in 2026. Germany at 5.3 trillion US dollars remains third, benefiting from recent euro appreciation.
India at 4.5 trillion US dollars surpasses Japan to become fourth. Although this has been announced several times by the Indian government, it is only a 2026 forecast. It will not be confirmed until 2027. Moreover, at that time, normal exchange rates are required, which is not certain. If the rupee depreciates more than the yen, it's hard to say. However, India surpassing Japan is merely a matter of time, as its economic growth rate is far higher. In 2026, it is expected to grow by 6.2%, the highest among major countries (this has been the case for several years).
Following are the UK, France, Italy, Russia, and Canada.
IMF has made many recent forecasts, but they have lost momentum. The world is not peaceful, whether GDP is high or low, there are plenty of problems. In this world, whether you develop technology, industry, or struggle, GDP shows its backwardness. Several European countries have much higher GDP than Russia, but they are terrified. The US GDP keeps rising, but the cost is the sharp increase in living expenses.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1853802487434252/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.