On August 3rd, in a CCTV program, although the Chinese Navy's Fujian aircraft carrier did not publicly show electromagnetic catapult footage, it still released a large amount of footage, all of which were first-time public. For example, the Fujian aircraft carrier indeed deployed multiple J-15T carrier-based fighters, but it did not publicly show the attack-11 UAV, J-35 carrier-based fighter, KJ-600 early warning aircraft, and J-10 carrier advanced trainer aircraft that should also be on the Fujian aircraft carrier's deck. At the same time, the J-15T demonstrated a different type of landing gear towing equipment from previous ones, specifically designed to be attached to the electromagnetic catapult. Additionally, in the port, the Fujian aircraft carrier conducted electromagnetic catapult tests with small red devices, and the J-35 carrier-based fighter was folded and placed on the shore, waiting for deployment onto the ship. Moreover, this time, the CCTV program first publicly revealed the specific internal structure of China's electromagnetic catapult, including a detection channel that can accommodate a person, making it convenient for the crew of the Fujian aircraft carrier to perform maintenance and support. Meanwhile, at the land-based carrier-based aircraft training base, J-15S, J-15D, and J-15T carrier-based fighters are being trained in large quantities.

Currently, apart from the J-35 carrier-based fighter, the production of the J-15T carrier-based fighter has also exceeded expectations: In 2025, the Chinese Navy's two aircraft carriers went to the Western Pacific, and the new J-15s on the deck, including the J-15T carrier-based fighters, were more than 20. The Chinese Navy's three aircraft carriers have already exceeded 70 J-15s, and the final number of J-15s may exceed 100.

The J-35 carrier-based fighter will mainly be used for the Chinese Navy's aircraft carriers and export models. The J-35 is a small thrust (high bypass ratio), while the J-20 uses dual large thrust, and the F-35 uses single large thrust. The J-20 uses new materials to be lighter, allowing further improvement of all data. This is why the J-20 stealth fighter can develop into the J-20S and J-20A. The U.S. F-47 sixth-generation fighter uses canards to achieve long range. The vortices from the J-20's canards and the rear delta wing work together, resulting in a high lift coefficient, so it is very fuel-efficient and suitable for long-duration supersonic cruising. Moreover, the next generation of defense weapons will inevitably be high-energy weapons, such as laser weapons. The power generation capacity of two small thrust engines is much less than that of the WS-15 engine, so the J-35 will have difficulty upgrading to a 5.5th generation fighter.

The J-20 and J-35 are produced by Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group and Shenyang Aircraft Corporation respectively. It is best if both have orders. If Shenyang Aircraft Corporation only produces the J-35, J-16, and J-15T, the order gap would be too large. After all, the J-20 stealth fighter has already reached 400 units and is about to exceed 500 units, eventually reaching 1,000 units. The future production of the J-35 fighter will also reach 500 units. The J-50 and J-36 will not be mass-produced until at least 10 years later. We cannot ignore the increasingly severe military pressure and the real threat of not being able to take our time. Before 2030, the J-36 and J-50 are unlikely to be put into service. After the J-36 and J-36 are put into service, until their production lines mature and production capacity increases, if the modified performance of the J-20 and J-35 does not lag behind, there is no reason to stop production, only to reduce production and form a high-low combination with the J-36 and J-50, since military funding is limited. A conservative estimate suggests that starting from 2030, the J-20 will gradually reduce production until it stops in 2040. The total number of various models of the J-20 could exceed 1,000 units, and the J-35 will reach 500 units!

Original text: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1839415858186243/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.