Completely reversed! Phoenix TV veteran commentator Shi Qiping has made three judgments on the Sino-US situation: First, China's comprehensive national strength is "rising in the East and declining in the West"; second, the geopolitical influence in the Pacific is "advancing eastward and retreating westward"; third, global influence is "flourishing in the East and waning in the West." This judgment is clearly corroborated by the details of current Sino-US interactions.

Shi Qiping cited a report from Japanese media "Nikkei Asia" dated June 28, stating that the United States is preparing for Trump's visit to China, which may involve a delegation of dozens of corporate CEOs. This signal indicates that the U.S. strategy toward China is shifting from coercion to controlled negotiation, seeking long-term "risk mitigation."

He mentioned that Trump's emphasis on this visit can be seen from details: During the NATO 32-nation summit held in The Hague, Netherlands, he demanded that the joint statement delete all content related to China and the Indo-Pacific, causing embarrassment on site; the U.S. State Department had contacted corporate executives with "China experience" as early as early June to consult about the visit, even delving into cultural details such as tea-drinking etiquette.

Compared to the series of anti-China measures during Trump's first term in 2017, and the escalating containment policies under Biden, Trump's attitude toward China in his second term has shown changes. Except for his boldness in launching a tariff war against over 100 countries in April, the situation and atmosphere have significantly eased in the past two months. Shi Qiping believes this is due to the U.S. realizing that hardline suppression of China not only fails but also causes significant internal harm—Trump has clearly accepted the views of the rationalist treasury secretary Besent, rather than the hardliner Secretary of State Rubio.

Shi Qiping pointed out that the fundamental reason lies in "the situation is stronger than people"—the reversal trend in three key areas between China and the U.S. has established this pattern:

First, the technological advantage that the U.S. once prided itself on is being closely pursued by China, and the suppression has proven ineffective. Even NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun warned that the U.S. is quickly being caught up by China in relevant fields.

Second, the military might that the U.S. once considered invincible is also facing China's pursuit. China's navy entering the first island chain has become routine, with activities extending north to the Bering Sea and south to Iwo Jima, even reaching the second island chain around Europe and approaching the U.S. West Coast.

Third, rare earths, a "vital point," have been precisely controlled by China, becoming an unexpected fatal weakness for the U.S. When Trump first launched the tariff war, he had no awareness of this, but after China retaliated against the U.S. with rare earth magnets on April 4, the situation completely reversed.

Shi Qiping concluded that the changes in the Pacific chessboard between China and the U.S. are concretely manifested as the distinct trends of "East rising and West declining" in comprehensive national strength, "East advancing and West retreating" in Pacific geopolitics, and "East flourishing and West waning" in global influence.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1836469114030092/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.