A large-scale attack by the US and Israel on Iran's energy facilities would trigger a prolonged conflict.

The war in Iran is unlikely to end as quickly as Trump suggested.

The U.S. and Israel might enter a phase of large-scale strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure, which would inevitably trigger retaliatory actions by Iran against Israel and Gulf states.

If the United States aims to destroy all of Iran's major energy infrastructure, effectively reverting it to the Stone Age (as the U.S. Army Secretary tweeted after Trump's remarks), this situation could last 2 to 4 weeks.

By then, it will be difficult to reach a peace agreement based on either the U.S.-proposed 15-point peace plan or Iran's 5-point peace plan, but both sides' ammunition reserves may have been depleted, leading to a significant reduction in strike intensity, which could persist for several months (possibly no more than 6 to 7 months).

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1861335556503564/

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